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Stochastic effects significantly influence the dynamics of traffic flows. Many dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) models attempt to capture these effects by prescribing a specific ratio that determines how flow splits across different routes…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-20 Lukas Graf , Tobias Harks , Michael Markl

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Predicting human motion in unstructured and dynamic environments is difficult as humans naturally exhibit complex behaviors that can change drastically from one environment to the next. In order to alleviate this issue, we propose to encode…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-07-01 Philipp Kratzer , Marc Toussaint , Jim Mainprice

Trajectory forecasting has become a popular deep learning task due to its relevance for scenario simulation for autonomous driving. Specifically, trajectory forecasting predicts the trajectory of a short-horizon future for specific human…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Laura Zheng , Hamidreza Yaghoubi Araghi , Tony Wu , Sandeep Thalapanane , Tianyi Zhou , Ming C. Lin

We consider kinetic vehicular traffic flow models of BGK type. Considering different spatial and temporal scales, those models allow to derive a hierarchy of traffic models including a hydrodynamic description. In this paper, the kinetic…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-08-18 Michael Herty , Elisa Iacomini

In autonomous driving, accurate motion prediction is crucial for safe and efficient motion planning. To ensure safety, planners require reliable uncertainty estimates of the predicted behavior of surrounding agents, yet this aspect has…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Aron Distelzweig , Andreas Look , Eitan Kosman , Faris Janjoš , Jörg Wagner , Abhinav Valada

Predicting the behavior of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous driving. Most researchers however do not consider contextual knowledge when predicting vehicle motion. Extending…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Florian Wirthmüller , Julian Schlechtriemen , Jochen Hipp , Manfred Reichert

Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian

In this paper, we model the trajectory of sea vessels and provide a service that predicts in near-real time the position of any given vessel in 4', 10', 20' and 40' time intervals. We explore the necessary tradeoffs between accuracy,…

Accurately predicting the dynamics of robotic systems is crucial for model-based control and reinforcement learning. The most common way to estimate dynamics is by fitting a one-step ahead prediction model and using it to recursively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-02 Nathan O. Lambert , Albert Wilcox , Howard Zhang , Kristofer S. J. Pister , Roberto Calandra

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

Trajectory prediction is an essential step in the pipeline of an autonomous vehicle. Inaccurate or inconsistent predictions regarding the movement of agents in its surroundings lead to poorly planned maneuvers and potentially dangerous…

Deep learning-based multivariate and multistep-ahead traffic forecasting models are typically trained with the mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE) as the loss function in a sequence-to-sequence setting, simply assuming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Seongjin Choi , Nicolas Saunier , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

This work addresses the problem of predicting the motion trajectories of dynamic objects in the environment. Recent advances in predicting motion patterns often rely on machine learning techniques to extrapolate motion patterns from…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Weiming Zhi , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

We study the stochastic motion of active particles that undergo spontaneous transitions between two distinct modes of motion. Each mode is characterized by a velocity distribution and an arbitrary (anti-)persistence. We present an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-07-07 M. Reza Shaebani , Heiko Rieger , Zeinab Sadjadi

Predicting future behavior of other traffic participants is an essential task that needs to be solved by automated vehicles and human drivers alike to achieve safe and situationaware driving. Modern approaches to vehicles trajectory…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-02 Florian Mirus , Terrence C. Stewart , Jorg Conradt

Trajectory planning in urban automated driving is challenging because of the high uncertainty resulting from the unknown future motion of other traffic participants. Robust approaches guarantee safety, but tend to result in overly…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-30 Tommaso Benciolini , Tim Brüdigam , Marion Leibold

The success of autonomous systems will depend upon their ability to safely navigate human-centric environments. This motivates the need for a real-time, probabilistic forecasting algorithm for pedestrians, cyclists, and other agents since…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2017-06-21 Henry O. Jacobs , Owen K. Hughes , Matthew Johnson-Roberson , Ram Vasudevan

In many human-in-the-loop robotic applications such as robot-assisted surgery and remote teleoperation, predicting the intended motion of the human operator may be useful for successful implementation of shared control, guidance virtual…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-03-28 Arun Kumar Singh , Sigal Berman , Ilana Nisky

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui