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Statistical methods for causal inference with continuous treatments mainly focus on estimating the mean potential outcome function, commonly known as the dose-response curve. However, it is often not the dose-response curve but its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-21 Yikun Zhang , Yen-Chi Chen

Constrained reinforcement learning is to maximize the expected reward subject to constraints on utilities/costs. However, the training environment may not be the same as the test one, due to, e.g., modeling error, adversarial attack,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-16 Yue Wang , Fei Miao , Shaofeng Zou

Despite the high performance achieved by deep neural networks on various tasks, extensive studies have demonstrated that small tweaks in the input could fail the model predictions. This issue of deep neural networks has led to a number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Ming-Chang Chiu , Xuezhe Ma

Causal inference from observation data is a core problem in many scientific fields. Here we present a general supervised deep learning framework that infers causal interactions by transforming the input vectors to an image-like…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-26 Ye Yuan , Xueying Ding , Ziv Bar-Joseph

Deep Learning models have shown success in a large variety of tasks by extracting correlation patterns from high-dimensional data but still struggle when generalizing out of their initial distribution. As causal engines aim to learn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Gaël Gendron , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

In this paper, we propose deep learning techniques for econometrics, specifically for causal inference and for estimating individual as well as average treatment effects. The contribution of this paper is twofold: 1. For generalized…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-02 Vikas Ramachandra

With the widespread application of causal inference, it is increasingly important to have tools which can test for the presence of causal effects in a diverse array of circumstances. In this vein we focus on the problem of testing for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-08 Jake Fawkes , Robert Hu , Robin J. Evans , Dino Sejdinovic

Most major retailers today have multiple divisions focused on various aspects, such as marketing, supply chain, online customer experience, store customer experience, employee productivity, and vendor fulfillment. They also regularly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Pranav Gupta , Nithin Surendran

Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

A fundamental challenge in causal inference with observational data is correct specification of a causal model. When there is model uncertainty, analysts may seek to use estimates from multiple candidate models that rely on distinct, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Rohit Bhattacharya , Ina Ocelli , Ted Westling

Missing data and confounding are two problems researchers face in observational studies for comparative effectiveness. Williamson et al. (2012) recently proposed a unified approach to handle both issues concurrently using a multiply-robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-22 Katherine Evans , Isabel Fulcher , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

In recommender systems, users always choose the favorite items to rate, which leads to data missing not at random and poses a great challenge for unbiased evaluation and learning of prediction models. Currently, the doubly robust (DR)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-25 Haoxuan Li , Chunyuan Zheng , Peng Wu

DoubleML is an open-source Python library implementing the double machine learning framework of Chernozhukov et al. (2018) for a variety of causal models. It contains functionalities for valid statistical inference on causal parameters when…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Philipp Bach , Victor Chernozhukov , Malte S. Kurz , Martin Spindler

Recent years have witnessed the rapid growth of machine learning in a wide range of fields such as image recognition, text classification, credit scoring prediction, recommendation system, etc. In spite of their great performance in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-20 Guandong Xu , Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Shaowu Liu , Xianzhi Wang

The article explores the emerging domain of incentive-aware machine learning (ML), which focuses on algorithmic decision-making in contexts where individuals can strategically modify their inputs to influence outcomes. It categorizes the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Chara Podimata

Despite extraordinary progress, current machine learning systems have been shown to be brittle against adversarial examples: seemingly innocuous but carefully crafted perturbations of test examples that cause machine learning predictors to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Omar Montasser

Many empirical applications estimate causal effects of a continuous endogenous variable (treatment) using a binary instrument. Estimation is typically done through linear 2SLS. This approach requires a mean treatment change and causal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-28 Yingying Dong , Ying-Ying Lee

Proper hyperparameter tuning is essential for achieving optimal performance of modern machine learning (ML) methods in predictive tasks. While there is an extensive literature on tuning ML learners for prediction, there is only little…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-08 Philipp Bach , Oliver Schacht , Victor Chernozhukov , Sven Klaassen , Martin Spindler

Causal inference methods such as instrumental variables, regression discontinuity, and difference-in-differences are widely used to identify and estimate treatment effects. However, when outcomes are qualitative, their application poses…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-30 Riccardo Di Francesco , Giovanni Mellace

We propose a machine-learning tool that yields causal inference on text in randomized trials. Based on a simple econometric framework in which text may capture outcomes of interest, our procedure addresses three questions: First, is the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-04 Iman Modarressi , Jann Spiess , Amar Venugopal