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Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is critical for integrating renewable energy sources into the grid, optimizing real-time energy management, and ensuring energy reliability amidst increasing demand. However, existing models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Guang Wu , Yun Wang , Qian Zhou , Ziyang Zhang

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

In recent years, researchers proposed a variety of deep learning models for wind power forecasting. These models predict the wind power generation of wind farms or entire regions more accurately than traditional machine learning algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 René Heinrich , Christoph Scholz , Stephan Vogt , Malte Lehna

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

The real-time prediction of business processes using historical event data is an important capability of modern business process monitoring systems. Existing process prediction methods are able to also exploit the data perspective of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-11 Marco Pegoraro , Merih Seran Uysal , David Benedikt Georgi , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) are widely used in the financial sector to measure the market risk and manage the extreme market movement. The recent link between the quantile score function and the Asymmetric Laplace…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-14 Zhengkun Li , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Junbin Gao

Electricity demand forecasting is a well established research field. Usually this task is performed considering historical loads, weather forecasts, calendar information and known major events. Recently attention has been given on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-14 Yun Bai , Simon Camal , Andrea Michiorri

We are concerned with robust and accurate forecasting of multiphase flow rates in wells and pipelines during oil and gas production. In practice, the possibility to physically measure the rates is often limited; besides, it is desirable to…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-02-16 Nikolai Andrianov

Accurate load forecasting is critical for electricity market operations and other real-time decision-making tasks in power systems. This paper considers the short-term load forecasting (STLF) problem for residential customers within a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Yuqi Zhou , Arun Sukumaran Nair , David Ganger , Abhinandan Tripathi , Chaitanya Baone , Hao Zhu

Hydroelectricity, being a renewable source of energy, globally fulfills the electricity demand. Hence, Hydropower Plants (HPPs) have always been in the limelight of research. The fast-paced technological advancement is enabling us to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-30 Yasir Saleem Afridi , Mian Ibad Ali Shah , Adnan Khan , Atia Kareem , Laiq Hasan

Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated significant potential in time series forecasting, offering impressive capabilities in handling complex temporal data. However, their robustness and reliability in real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Fuqiang Liu , Sicong Jiang , Luis Miranda-Moreno , Seongjin Choi , Lijun Sun

The ever-increasing demand to extract temporal correlations across sequential data and perform context-based learning in this era of big data has led to the development of long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. Furthermore, there is an…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2022-04-06 Honey Nikam , Siddharth Satyam , Shubham Sahay

The strong growth of renewable energy sources and the high volatility in power generation of these sources, as well as the increasing amount of volatile energy consumption is leading to major challenges in the electrical grid. In order to…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-28 Katharina Brauns , Christoph Scholz , Andre Baier , Dominik Jost

This paper presents a framework for processing EV charging load data in order to forecast future load predictions using a Recurrent Neural Network, specifically an LSTM. The framework processes a large set of raw data from multiple…

Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focus not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-15 Thomas Steens , Jan-Simon Telle , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert , Gian-Luca di Modica , Bernd Engel , Matthias Grottke

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

Accurate solar power forecasting is pivotal for the global transition towards sustainable energy systems. This study conducts a meticulous comparison between Quantum Long Short-Term Memory (QLSTM) and classical Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Hongzhi Wang , Yang Song , Shihan Tang

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman