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相关论文: Scalable Bayesian Learning with posteriors

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Bayesian regression remains a simple but effective tool based on Bayesian inference techniques. For large-scale applications, with complicated posterior distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are applied. To improve the well-known…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-28 Joris Tavernier , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Karl Meerbergen , Yves Moreau

Recent work has observed that one can outperform exact inference in Bayesian neural networks by tuning the "temperature" of the posterior on a validation set (the "cold posterior" effect). To help interpret this phenomenon, we argue that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Ben Adlam , Jasper Snoek , Samuel L. Smith

We show that a probabilistic version of the classical forward-stepwise variable inclusion procedure can serve as a general data-augmentation scheme for model space distributions in (generalized) linear models. This latent variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Li Ma

The likelihood-free sequential Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithms, are increasingly popular inference tools for complex biological models. Such algorithms proceed by constructing a succession of probability distributions over…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-10-12 Daniel Silk , Saran Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf

In recent years, large-scale Bayesian learning draws a great deal of attention. However, in big-data era, the amount of data we face is growing much faster than our ability to deal with it. Fortunately, it is observed that large-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-15 Qianqian Song

In many domains, we are interested in analyzing the structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether one variable is a direct parent of the other. Bayesian model-selection attempts to find the MAP model and use its structure to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method to efficiently and accurately compute cut-Bayesian posterior quantities of interest, variations of standard Bayesian approaches constructed primarily to account for model misspecification. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-13 Joseph Mathews , Giri Gopalan , James Gattiker , Sean Smith , Devin Francom

Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

Bottom-Up Hidden Tree Markov Model is a highly expressive model for tree-structured data. Unfortunately, it cannot be used in practice due to the intractable size of its state-transition matrix. We propose a new approximation which lies on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-03 Daniele Castellana , Davide Bacciu

We present here a PAC-Bayesian point of view on adaptive supervised classification. Using convex analysis, we show how to get local measures of the complexity of the classification model involving the relative entropy of posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Olivier Catoni

Varying coefficient models (VCMs) are widely used for estimating nonlinear regression functions for functional data. Their Bayesian variants using Gaussian process priors on the functional coefficients, however, have received limited…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-01 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Cheng Li , Terrance D. Savitsky , Sanvesh Srivastava

Explosive growth in data and availability of cheap computing resources have sparked increasing interest in Big learning, an emerging subfield that studies scalable machine learning algorithms, systems, and applications with Big Data.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-02 Jun Zhu , Jianfei Chen , Wenbo Hu , Bo Zhang

Although Bayesian inference is an immensely popular paradigm among a large segment of scientists including statisticians, most applications consider objective priors and need critical investigations (Efron, 2013, Science). While it has…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-11 Abhik Ghosh , Tuhin Majumder , Ayanendranath Basu

Ordinal categorical data are routinely encountered in many practical applications. When the primary goal is to construct a regression model for ordinal outcomes, cumulative link models represent one of the most popular choices to link the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Emanuele Aliverti

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

We recapitulate the Bayesian formulation of neural network based classifiers and show that, while sampling from the posterior does indeed lead to better generalisation than is obtained by standard optimisation of the cost function, even…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-09 Robert J. N. Baldock , Nicola Marzari

We propose a Bayesian tensor-on-tensor regression approach to predict a multidimensional array (tensor) of arbitrary dimensions from another tensor of arbitrary dimensions, building upon the Tucker decomposition of the regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu

Meta-Learning aims to speed up the learning process on new tasks by acquiring useful inductive biases from datasets of related learning tasks. While, in practice, the number of related tasks available is often small, most of the existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Jonas Rothfuss , Martin Josifoski , Vincent Fortuin , Andreas Krause

We introduce scalable algorithms for online learning of neural network parameters and Bayesian sequential decision making. Unlike classical Bayesian neural networks, which induce predictive uncertainty through a posterior over model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Gerardo Duran-Martin , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt , Álvaro Cartea , Kevin Murphy