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相关论文: Optimal Multiclass U-Calibration Error and Beyond

200 篇论文

We study the minimax sample complexity of multicalibration in the batch setting. A learner observes $n$ i.i.d. samples from an unknown distribution and must output a (possibly randomized) predictor whose population multicalibration error,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Natalie Collina , Jiuyao Lu , Georgy Noarov , Aaron Roth

In the recent literature on machine learning and decision making, calibration has emerged as a desirable and widely-studied statistical property of the outputs of binary prediction models. However, the algorithmic aspects of measuring model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-24 Lunjia Hu , Arun Jambulapati , Kevin Tian , Chutong Yang

This paper addresses the problem of universal learning under model misspecification with log-loss. In this setting, the learner operates with a hypothesis class of models denoted by $\Theta$, while the true data-generating process belongs…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Shlomi Vituri , Meir Feder

The class-wise training losses often diverge as a result of the various levels of intra-class and inter-class appearance variation, and we find that the diverging class-wise training losses cause the uncalibrated prediction with its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Seungjin Jung , Seungmo Seo , Yonghyun Jeong , Jongwon Choi

We consider what we call the offline-to-online learning setting, focusing on stochastic finite-armed bandit problems. In offline-to-online learning, a learner starts with offline data collected from interactions with an unknown environment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Flore Sentenac , Ilbin Lee , Csaba Szepesvari

Contextual optimization, also known as predict-then-optimize or prescriptive analytics, considers an optimization problem with the presence of covariates (context or side information). The goal is to learn a prediction model (from the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-13 Chunlin Sun , Linyu Liu , Xiaocheng Li

Machine-generated probability predictions are essential in modern classification tasks such as image classification. A model is well calibrated when its predicted probabilities correspond to observed event frequencies. Despite the need for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Amy Vennos , Xin Xing , Christopher T. Franck

The follow the leader (FTL) algorithm, perhaps the simplest of all online learning algorithms, is known to perform well when the loss functions it is used on are convex and positively curved. In this paper we ask whether there are other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-13 Ruitong Huang , Tor Lattimore , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

We study the online learning with feedback graphs framework introduced by Mannor and Shamir (2011), in which the feedback received by the online learner is specified by a graph $G$ over the available actions. We develop an algorithm that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-21 Liad Erez , Tomer Koren

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-03 Piao Hu , Jiashuo Jiang , Guodong Lyu , Hao Su

We introduce a new neural network-based continual learning algorithm, dubbed as Uncertainty-regularized Continual Learning (UCL), which builds on traditional Bayesian online learning framework with variational inference. We focus on two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-15 Hongjoon Ahn , Sungmin Cha , Donggyu Lee , Taesup Moon

Calibration is a critical requirement for reliable probabilistic prediction, especially in high-risk applications. However, the theoretical understanding of which learning algorithms can simultaneously achieve high accuracy and good…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Futoshi Futami , Atsushi Nitanda

The time-optimal $k$-server problem minimizes the time spent serving all requests instead of the distances traveled. We give a lower bound of $2k-1$ on the competitive ratio of any deterministic online algorithm for this problem, which…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Fabian Frei , Dennis Komm , Moritz Stocker , Philip Whittington

In the online matching on the line problem, the task is to match a set of requests $R$ online to a given set of servers $S$. The distance metric between any two points in $R\,\cup\, S$ is a line metric and the objective for the online…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-12-20 Antonios Antoniadis , Carsten Fischer , Andreas Tönnis

Multi-objective combinatorial optimization seeks Pareto-optimal solutions over exponentially large discrete spaces, yet existing methods sacrifice generality, scalability, or theoretical guarantees. We reformulate it as an online learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Esha Singh , Dongxia Wu , Chien-Yi Yang , Tajana Rosing , Rose Yu , Yi-An Ma

Uncertainties arising from localization error, trajectory prediction errors of the moving obstacles and environmental disturbances pose significant challenges to robot's safe navigation. Existing uncertainty-aware planners often approximate…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Zehao Wang , Yuxuan Tang , Han Zhang , Jingchuan Wang , Weidong Chen

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Deep clustering has exhibited remarkable performance; however, the over confidence problem, i.e., the estimated confidence for a sample belonging to a particular cluster greatly exceeds its actual prediction accuracy, has been over looked…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Yuheng Jia , Jianhong Cheng , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou