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相关论文: A Causal Framework for Evaluating Deferring System…

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AI systems often struggle to provide reliable predictions across all inputs, motivating hybrid human-AI decision-making. Existing Learning to Defer (L2D) approaches address this by training models to selectively defer to human experts.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Tim Bary , Benoît Macq , Louis Petit

Causal Machine Learning (CausalML) is an umbrella term for machine learning methods that formalize the data-generation process as a structural causal model (SCM). This perspective enables us to reason about the effects of changes to this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Jean Kaddour , Aengus Lynch , Qi Liu , Matt J. Kusner , Ricardo Silva

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Ezra Karger , Houtan Bastani , Chen Yueh-Han , Zachary Jacobs , Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Philip E. Tetlock

As systems are getting more autonomous with the development of artificial intelligence, it is important to discover the causal knowledge from observational sensory inputs. By encoding a series of cause-effect relations between events,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-16 Yuhao Wang , Vlado Menkovski , Hao Wang , Xin Du , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Confounding bias is a key challenge in causal effect estimation from observational data. Double Machine Learning (DML) addresses this issue by estimating treatment and outcome nuisance functions, constructing treatment and outcome…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Guodu Xiang , Kui Yu , Yujie Wang , Richang Hong , Fuyuan Cao , Jiye Liang

For a given causal question, it is important to efficiently decide which causal inference method to use for a given dataset. This is challenging because causal methods typically rely on complex and difficult-to-verify assumptions, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Shantanu Gupta , Cheng Zhang , Agrin Hilmkil

The science of causality explains/determines 'cause-effect' relationship between the entities of a system by providing mathematical tools for the purpose. In spite of all the success and widespread applications of machine-learning (ML)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Aditi Kathpalia , Keerti P. Charantimath , Nithin Nagaraj

The goal of causal inference is to understand the outcome of alternative courses of action. However, all causal inference requires assumptions. Such assumptions can be more influential than in typical tasks for probabilistic modeling, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Dustin Tran , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

ML is playing an increasingly crucial role in estimating causal effects of treatments on outcomes from observational data. Many ML methods (`causal estimators') have been proposed for this task. All of these methods, as with any ML…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Damian Machlanski , Spyridon Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

Proper hyperparameter tuning is essential for achieving optimal performance of modern machine learning (ML) methods in predictive tasks. While there is an extensive literature on tuning ML learners for prediction, there is only little…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-08 Philipp Bach , Oliver Schacht , Victor Chernozhukov , Sven Klaassen , Martin Spindler

Artificial intelligence researchers have made significant advances in legal intelligence in recent years. However, the existing studies have not focused on the important value embedded in judgments reversals, which limits the improvement of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-07-24 Minghua He , Nanfei Gu , Yuntao Shi , Qionghui Zhang , Yaying Chen

Many real-world tasks involve delayed effects, where the outcomes of actions emerge after varying time lags. Existing delay-aware reinforcement learning methods often rely on state augmentation, prior knowledge of delay distributions, or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Chenran Zhao , Dianxi Shi , Haotian Wang , Mengzhu Wang , Yaowen Zhang , Chunping Qiu , Shaowu Yang

Human decision-making is strongly influenced by cognitive biases, particularly under conditions of uncertainty and risk. While prior work has examined bias in single-step decisions with immediate outcomes and in human interaction with a…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Teerthaa Parakh , Karen M. Feigh

Deep Learning models have shown success in a large variety of tasks by extracting correlation patterns from high-dimensional data but still struggle when generalizing out of their initial distribution. As causal engines aim to learn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Gaël Gendron , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

Machine learning models play a vital role in making predictions and deriving insights from data and are being increasingly used for causal inference. To preserve user privacy, it is important to enable the model to forget some of its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Vikas Ramachandra , Mohit Sethi

Uncovering causal effects in multiple treatment setting at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. Comprehensive machine learning approaches to causal effect estimation allow to use a single causal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-17 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

Learning to defer (L2D) aims to improve human-AI collaboration systems by learning how to defer decisions to humans when they are more likely to be correct than an ML classifier. Existing research in L2D overlooks key real-world aspects…

Soft sensor modeling plays a crucial role in process monitoring. Causal feature selection can enhance the performance of soft sensor models in industrial applications. However, existing methods ignore two critical characteristics of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li , Enrico Zio

Decentralized data sources are prevalent in real-world applications, posing a formidable challenge for causal inference. These sources cannot be consolidated into a single entity owing to privacy constraints. The presence of dissimilar data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-31 Thanh Vinh Vo , Young lee , Tze-Yun Leong