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Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

A significant obstacle in the development of robust machine learning models is covariate shift, a form of distribution shift that occurs when the input distributions of the training and test sets differ while the conditional label…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-17 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

Causal models provide rich descriptions of complex systems as sets of mechanisms by which each variable is influenced by its direct causes. They support reasoning about manipulating parts of the system and thus hold promise for addressing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Julius von Kügelgen

We propose a counterfactual approach to train ``causality-aware" predictive models that are able to leverage causal information in static anticausal machine learning tasks (i.e., prediction tasks where the outcome influences the features).…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Elias Chaibub Neto

Standard imitation learning can fail when the expert demonstrators have different sensory inputs than the imitating agent. This is because partial observability gives rise to hidden confounders in the causal graph. In previous work, to work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Risto Vuorio , Pim de Haan , Johann Brehmer , Hanno Ackermann , Daniel Dijkman , Taco Cohen

Machine learning methods can be unreliable when deployed in domains that differ from the domains on which they were trained. There are a wide range of proposals for mitigating this problem by learning representations that are ``invariant''…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-09 Zihao Wang , Victor Veitch

When users can benefit from certain predictive outcomes, they may be prone to act to achieve those outcome, e.g., by strategically modifying their features. The goal in strategic classification is therefore to train predictive models that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Guy Horowitz , Nir Rosenfeld

In this study, we address causal inference when only observational data and a valid causal ordering from the causal graph are available. We introduce a set of flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Minh Khoa Le , Kien Do , Truyen Tran

We consider learning from labeled data collected across multiple environments, where the data distribution may vary across these environments. This problem is commonly approached from a causal perspective, seeking invariant representations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Revealing the underlying causal mechanisms in the real world is crucial for scientific and technological progress. Despite notable advances in recent decades, the lack of high-quality data and the reliance of traditional causal discovery…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Huaming Du , Tao Hu , Yijie Huang , Yu Zhao , Guisong Liu , Tao Gu , Gang Kou , Carl Yang

The design-based paradigm may be adopted in causal inference and survey sampling when we assume Rubin's stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA) or impose similar frameworks. While often taken for granted, such assumptions entail…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-05 P. M. Aronow , Austin Jang , Molly Offer-Westort

Neural networks have proven to be effective at solving machine learning tasks but it is unclear whether they learn any relevant causal relationships, while their black-box nature makes it difficult for modellers to understand and debug…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Fabrizio Russo , Francesca Toni

Meta-learning methods perform well on new within-distribution tasks but often fail when adapting to out-of-distribution target tasks, where transfer from source tasks can induce negative transfer. We propose a causally-aware Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Lotta Mäkinen , Jorge Loría , Samuel Kaski

Discovering a unique causal structure is difficult due to both inherent identifiability issues, and the consequences of finite data. As such, uncertainty over causal structures, such as those obtained from a Bayesian posterior, are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-06 Anish Dhir , Matthew Ashman , James Requeima , Mark van der Wilk

In many application settings, the data have missing entries which make analysis challenging. An abundant literature addresses missing values in an inferential framework: estimating parameters and their variance from incomplete tables. Here,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-22 Julie Josse , Jacob M. Chen , Nicolas Prost , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux

With the introduction of the variational autoencoder (VAE), probabilistic latent variable models have received renewed attention as powerful generative models. However, their performance in terms of test likelihood and quality of generated…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Lars Maaløe , Marco Fraccaro , Valentin Liévin , Ole Winther

Continual learning requires learning incremental tasks with dynamic data distributions. So far, it has been observed that employing a combination of contrastive loss and distillation loss for training in continual learning yields strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Yichen Wen , Zhiquan Tan , Kaipeng Zheng , Chuanlong Xie , Weiran Huang

Causal inference is fundamental across scientific disciplines, yet existing methods struggle to capture instantaneous, time-evolving causal relationships in complex, high-dimensional systems. In this paper, assimilative causal inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Erik Bollt

The recently proposed identifiable variational autoencoder (iVAE) framework provides a promising approach for learning latent independent components (ICs). iVAEs use auxiliary covariates to build an identifiable generation structure from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Young-geun Kim , Ying Liu , Xuexin Wei

Wearable devices continuously collect sensor data and use it to infer an individual's behavior, such as sleep, physical activity, and emotions. Despite the significant interest and advancements in this field, modeling multimodal sensor data…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-15 Janosch Jungo , Yutong Xiang , Shkurta Gashi , Christian Holz