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Reward-model-based fine-tuning is a central paradigm in aligning Large Language Models with human preferences. However, such approaches critically rely on the assumption that proxy reward models accurately reflect intended supervision, a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Zixuan Liu , Siavash H. Khajavi , Guangkai Jiang , Xinru Liu

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Medical imaging plays a pivotal role in diagnosis and treatment in clinical practice. Inspired by the significant progress in automatic image captioning, various deep learning (DL)-based methods have been proposed to generate radiology…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-02-04 Yixin Wang , Zihao Lin , Zhe Xu , Haoyu Dong , Jiang Tian , Jie Luo , Zhongchao Shi , Yang Zhang , Jianping Fan , Zhiqiang He

There has been much recent interest in evaluating large language models for uncertainty calibration to facilitate model control and modulate user trust. Inference time uncertainty, which may provide a real-time signal to the model or…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Kyle Moore , Jesse Roberts , Daryl Watson

Deploying machine learning models in safety-critical domains poses a key challenge: ensuring reliable model performance on downstream user data without access to ground truth labels for direct validation. We propose the suitability filter,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Angéline Pouget , Mohammad Yaghini , Stephan Rabanser , Nicolas Papernot

Calibration is a well-studied property of predictors which guarantees meaningful uncertainty estimates. Multicalibration is a related notion -- originating in algorithmic fairness -- which requires predictors to be simultaneously calibrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Dutch Hansen , Siddartha Devic , Preetum Nakkiran , Vatsal Sharan

A machine learning model is calibrated if its predicted probability for an outcome matches the observed frequency for that outcome conditional on the model prediction. This property has become increasingly important as the impact of machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

Automated radiology report drafting (ARRD) using vision-language models (VLMs) has advanced rapidly, yet most systems lack explicit uncertainty estimates, limiting trust and safe clinical deployment. We propose CONRep, a model-agnostic…

Conformal prediction has emerged as a cutting-edge methodology in statistics and machine learning, providing prediction intervals with finite-sample frequentist coverage guarantees. Yet, its interplay with Bayesian statistics, often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Nina Deliu , Brunero Liseo

While interpretability methods identify a model's learned concepts, they overlook the relationships between concepts that make up its abstractions and inform its ability to generalize to new data. To assess whether models' have learned…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Angie Boggust , Hyemin Bang , Hendrik Strobelt , Arvind Satyanarayan

With the proliferation of increasingly complicated Deep Learning architectures, data synthesis is a highly promising technique to address the demand of data-hungry models. However, reliably assessing the quality of a 'synthesiser' model's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-05 Julia A. Meister , Khuong An Nguyen

Image segmentation is a challenging task influenced by multiple sources of uncertainty, such as the data labeling process or the sampling of training data. In this paper we focus on binary segmentation and address these challenges using…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Luca Mossina , Corentin Friedrich

Conformal methods provide prediction sets for outcomes with confidence guarantees. We study their use in a selective inference setting, where inference is performed only when the prediction set is informative. The analyst may consider as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-22 Israela Solomon , Etienne Roquain , Saharon Rosset , Ruth Heller

Conformal Prediction offers a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, enabling the construction of prediction sets with finite-sample validity guarantees. While easily adaptable to non-probabilistic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Eshant English , Christoph Lippert

Machine learning models are widely used, but can also often be wrong. Users would benefit from a reliable indication of whether a given output from a given model should be trusted, so a rational decision can be made whether to use the…

Large Language Models (LLMs) trained on extensive textual corpora have emerged as leading solutions for a broad array of Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks. Despite their notable performance, these models are prone to certain…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-07-25 Yufei Wang , Wanjun Zhong , Liangyou Li , Fei Mi , Xingshan Zeng , Wenyong Huang , Lifeng Shang , Xin Jiang , Qun Liu

Conformal prediction is a statistical tool for producing prediction regions of machine learning models that are valid with high probability. However, applying conformal prediction to time series data leads to conservative prediction…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-10 Matthew Cleaveland , Insup Lee , George J. Pappas , Lars Lindemann

Automated chest radiographs interpretation requires both accurate disease classification and detailed radiology report generation, presenting a significant challenge in the clinical workflow. Current approaches either focus on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-23 Difei Gu , Yunhe Gao , Yang Zhou , Mu Zhou , Dimitris Metaxas

Conformal prediction uses past experience to determine precise levels of confidence in new predictions. Given an error probability $\epsilon$, together with a method that makes a prediction $\hat{y}$ of a label $y$, it produces a set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-23 Glenn Shafer , Vladimir Vovk

Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in real-world statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions. A central challenge in this setting is predicting a response…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-21 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , F. Javier Rubio