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This paper develops a general causal inference method for treatment effects models with noisily measured confounders. The key feature is that a large set of noisy measurements are linked with the underlying latent confounders through an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-14 Yingjie Feng

Negative control is a strategy for learning the causal relationship between treatment and outcome in the presence of unmeasured confounding. The treatment effect can nonetheless be identified if two auxiliary variables are available: a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-24 Rahul Singh

We consider causal inference in dynamic settings where treatment is assigned by thresholding a state variable that can change over time. There is a large literature on regression-discontinuity methods building on the fact that, in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Aditya Ghosh , Stefan Wager

When examining a contrast between two interventions, longitudinal causal inference studies frequently encounter positivity violations when one or both regimes are impossible to observe for some subjects. Existing weighting methods either…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-11 Alec McClean , Iván Díaz

This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Judith J. Lok

For the purpose of causal inference we employ a stochastic model of the data generating process, utilizing individual propensity probabilities for the treatment, and also individual and counterfactual prognosis probabilities for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-15 Brian Knaeble , Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi , Mark A. Abramson

The health effects of environmental exposures have been studied for decades, typically using standard regression models to assess exposure-outcome associations found in observational non-experimental data. We propose and illustrate a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Marie-Abele C. Bind , Donald B. Rubin

Causal inference methods for observational data are increasingly recognized as a valuable complement to randomized clinical trials (RCTs). They can, under strong assumptions, emulate RCTs or help refine their focus. Our approach to causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-14 Carlo Berzuini , Davide Luciani , Hiren C. Patel

Exposure to fine particulate matter ($PM_{2.5}$) poses significant health risks and accurately determining the shape of the relationship between $PM_{2.5}$ and health outcomes has crucial policy ramifications. While various statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Michael Cork , Daniel Mork , Francesca Dominici

Standard methods for estimating average causal effects require complete observations of the exposure and confounders. In observational studies, however, missing data are ubiquitous. Motivated by a study on the effect of prescription opioids…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Lan Wen , Glen McGee

We address the setting of Proxy Causal Learning (PCL), which has the goal of estimating causal effects from observed data in the presence of hidden confounding. Proxy methods accomplish this task using two proxy variables related to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Bariscan Bozkurt , Ben Deaner , Dimitri Meunier , Liyuan Xu , Arthur Gretton

In this paper, we propose the use of causal inference techniques for survival function estimation and prediction for subgroups of the data, upto individual units. Tree ensemble methods, specifically random forests were modified for this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-23 Vikas Ramachandra

Quantifying causal effects of exposures on outcomes, such as a treatment and a disease respectively, is a crucial issue in medical science for the administration of effective therapies. Importantly, any related causal analysis should…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Federico Castelletti , Laura Ferrini

The method of covariate adjustment is often used for estimation of population average treatment effects in observational studies. Graphical rules for determining all valid covariate adjustment sets from an assumed causal graphical model are…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-18 Andrea Rotnitzky , Ezequiel Smucler

Causal inference methods are widely applied in various decision-making domains such as precision medicine, optimal policy and economics. Central to causal inference is the treatment effect estimation of intervention strategies, such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-31 Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Guandong Xu

In many fields of scientific research and real-world applications, unbiased estimation of causal effects from non-experimental data is crucial for understanding the mechanism underlying the data and for decision-making on effective…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-04 Peng Ding , Fan Li

Estimating causal effects under interference, where the stable unit treatment value assumption is violated, is critical in fields such as regional and public economics. Much of the existing research on causal inference under interference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Akihiro Sato , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Applied macroeconomists frequently use impulse response estimators motivated by linear models. We study whether the estimands of such procedures have a causal interpretation when the true data generating process is in fact nonlinear. We…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-18 Michal Kolesár , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller