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The daily cloud cycle (DCC) and its response to global warming are critical to the Earth's energy budget, but their radiative effects have not been systematically quantified. Toward this goal, here we analyze the radiation at the top of the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-12-13 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

Improvements of Machine Learning (ML)-based radiation emulators remain constrained by the underlying assumptions to represent horizontal and vertical subgrid-scale cloud distributions, which continue to introduce substantial uncertainties.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-09 Katharina Hafner , Sara Shamekh , Guillaume Bertoli , Axel Lauer , Robert Pincus , Julien Savre , Veronika Eyring

Due to computational constraints, running global climate models (GCMs) for many years requires a lower spatial grid resolution (${\gtrsim}50$ km) than is optimal for accurately resolving important physical processes. Such processes are…

Clouds are the largest source of uncertainty in climate simulations. For exoplanets, cloud simulation is particularly challenging because of the lack of observational data to tune parameterized cloud models. Here we apply Community Aerosol…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 Huanzhou Yang , Eric T. Wolf , Cheng-Cheng Liu , Yunqian Zhu , Owen B. Toon , Dorian S. Abbot

Cirrus clouds are key modulators of Earth's climate. Their dependencies on meteorological and aerosol conditions are among the largest uncertainties in global climate models. This work uses three years of satellite and reanalysis data to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-29 Kai Jeggle , David Neubauer , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ulrike Lohmann

Cloud fraction significantly affects the short- and long-wave radiation. Its realistic representation in general circulation models (GCMs) still poses great challenges in modeling the atmosphere. Here, we present a neural network-based…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang , Shixi Yang , Yixin Wang , Feng Zhang , Kun Wu

Global climate models (GCMs), typically run at ~100-km resolution, capture large-scale environmental conditions but cannot resolve convection and cloud processes at kilometer scales. Convection-permitting models offer higher-resolution…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-12 Hungjui Yu , Lander Ver Hoef , Kristen L. Rasmussen , Imme Ebert-Uphoff

By reflecting solar radiation and reducing longwave emissions, clouds regulate the earth's radiation budget, impacting atmospheric circulation and cloud dynamics. Given the diurnal fluctuation of shortwave and longwave radiation, a shift in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-03-28 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

General circulation models (GCMs) are the foundation of weather and climate prediction. GCMs are physics-based simulators which combine a numerical solver for large-scale dynamics with tuned representations for small-scale processes such as…

Which set of features was responsible for a certain output of a machine learning model? Which components caused the failure of a cloud computing application? These are just two examples of questions we are addressing in this work by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-20 Michael Oesterle , Patrick Blöbaum , Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Elke Kirschbaum

Conventional hurricane track generation methods typically depend on biased outputs from Global Climate Models (GCMs), which undermines their accuracy in the context of climate change. We present a novel dynamic bias correction framework…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-05-05 Reda Snaiki , Teng Wu

In climate change study, the infrared spectral signatures of climate change have recently been conceptually adopted, and widely applied to identifying and attributing atmospheric composition change. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-04-04 Zhen Zhang , Chae Young Lim , Tapabrata Maiti , Seiji Kato

Aerosol particles play an important role in the climate system by absorbing and scattering radiation and influencing cloud properties. They are also one of the biggest sources of uncertainty for climate modeling. Many climate models do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-30 Paula Harder , Duncan Watson-Parris , Dominik Strassel , Nicolas Gauger , Philip Stier , Janis Keuper

Aerosol-cloud interactions (ACI) include various effects that result from aerosols entering a cloud, and affecting cloud properties. In general, an increase in aerosol concentration results in smaller droplet sizes which leads to larger,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-01-31 Maëlys Solal , Andrew Jesson , Yarin Gal , Alyson Douglas

Clouds' efficiency at reflecting solar radiation and trapping the terrestrial one is strongly modulated by their diurnal cycle. Much attention has been paid to mean cloud properties due to their critical role in climate projections;…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-03-06 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

Clouds play a key role in regulating climate change but are difficult to simulate within Earth system models (ESMs). Improving the representation of clouds is one of the key tasks towards more robust climate change projections. This study…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-28 A. Kaps , A. Lauer , G. Camps-Valls , P. Gentine , L. Gómez-Chova , V. Eyring

Climate change affects ocean temperature, salinity and sea level, impacting monsoons and ocean productivity. Future projections by Global Climate Models based on shared socioeconomic pathways from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-09 Abhishek Pasula , Deepak N. Subramani

Weather extremes are a major societal and economic hazard, claiming thousands of lives and causing billions of dollars in damage every year. Under climate change, their impact and intensity are expected to worsen significantly.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-24 Antoine Blanchard , Nishant Parashar , Boyko Dodov , Christian Lessig , Themistoklis Sapsis

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman
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