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Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are a manifestation of the Sun's eruptive nature. They can have a great impact on Earth, but also on human activity in space and on the ground. Therefore, modelling their evolution as they propagate through…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-08-04 E. Asvestari , J. Pomoell , E. Kilpua , S. Good , T. Chatzistergos , M. Temmer , E. Palmerio , S. Poedts , J. Magdalenic

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are the primary source of strong space weather disturbances at Earth. Their geoeffectiveness is largely determined by their dynamic pressure and internal magnetic fields, for which reliable predictions at Earth…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-06-26 Camilla Scolini , Luciano Rodriguez , Marilena Mierla , Jens Pomoell , Stefaan Poedts

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are large-scale eruptions from the Sun into interplanetary space. Despite being major space weather drivers, our knowledge of the CME properties in the inner heliosphere remains constrained by the scarcity of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-05-12 Camilla Scolini , Sergio Dasso , Luciano Rodriguez , Andrei N. Zhukov , Stefaan Poedts

We present an advance towards accurately predicting the arrivals of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at the terrestrial planets, including Earth. For the first time, we are able to assess a CME prediction model using data over 2/3 of a solar…

Rising concerns about the impact of space weather-related disruptions demand modelling and reliable forecasting of coronal mass ejection (CME) impacts. In this study, we demonstrate the application of the modified Miller-Turner (mMT) model…

空间物理 · 物理学 2024-11-13 Anwesha Maharana , Luis Linan , Stefaan Poedts , Jasmina Magdalenic

EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) is a physics-based data-driven solar wind and CME propagation model designed for space weather forecasting and event analysis investigations. Although EUHFORIA can predict the…

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) cause various disturbances of the space environment; therefore, forecasting their arrival time is very important. However, forecasting accuracy is hindered by limited CME observations in interplanetary space.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-01-13 Kazumasa Iwai , Daikou Shiota , Munetoshi Tokumaru , Kenichi Fujiki , Mitsue Den , Yûki Kubo

Solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) can catch up and interact with preceding CMEs and solar wind structures to undergo rotation and deflection during their propagation. We aim to show how interactions undergone by a CME in the corona and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-07-12 Anwesha Maharana , Camilla Scolini , Brigitte Schmieder , Stefaan Poedts

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large scale eruptions observed close to the Sun. They are travelling through the heliosphere and possibly interacting with the Earth environment creating interruptions or even damaging new technology…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-07-08 C. Verbeke , B. Schmieder , P. Démoulin , S. Dasso , B. Grison , E. Samara , C. Scolini , S. Poedts

We present the study of two solar eruptive events observed on December 7 2020 and October 28 2021.Both events were associated with full halo CMEs and flares.These events were chosen because they show a strong non-radial direction of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-07-25 Angelos Valentino , Jasmina Magdalenic

The arrival time prediction of Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is an area of active research. Many methods with varying levels of complexity have been developed to predict CME arrival. However, the mean absolute error (MAE) of predictions…

The Time-of-Arrival (ToA) of coronal mass ejections (CME) at Earth is a key parameter due to the space weather phenomena associated with the CME arrival, such as intense geomagnetic storms. Despite the incremental use of new instrumentation…

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are one of the primary drivers of extreme space weather. They are large eruptions of mass and magnetic field from the solar corona and can travel the distance between Sun and Earth in half a day to a few days.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-05-13 Talwinder Singh , Mehmet S. Yalim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Nat Gopalswamy

Forecasting the in situ properties of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from remote images is expected to strongly enhance predictions of space weather, and is of general interest for studying the interaction of CMEs with planetary…

Accurate forecasting of the properties of coronal mass ejections as they approach Earth is now recognized as an important strategic objective for both NOAA and NASA. The time of arrival of such events is a key parameter, one that had been…

A key challenge in space weather forecasting is accurately predicting the magnetic field topology of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), specifically the north-south magnetic field component (Bz) for Earth-directed CMEs.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-11-28 Ranadeep Sarkar , Jens Pomoell , Emilia Kilpua , Eleanna Asvestari , Nicolas Wijsen , Anwesha Maharana , Stefaan Poedts

We investigate the performance of six methods for predicting the CME time of arrival (ToA) and velocity at Earth using a sample of nine Earth-impacting CMEs between May 2010 and June 2011. The CMEs were tracked continuously from the Sun to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-11-01 R. C. Colaninno , A. Vourlidas , C. -C. Wu

In this study we present a statistical analysis of 53 fast Earth-directed halo CMEs observed by the SOHO/LASCO instrument during the period Jan. 2009-Sep. 2015, and we use this CME sample to test the capabilities of a Sun-to-Earth…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-12-19 Camilla Scolini , Mauro Messerotti , Stefaan Poedts , Luciano Rodriguez

A goal of the NASA STEREO mission is to study the feasibility of forecasting the direction, arrival time and internal structure of solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from a vantage point outside the Sun-Earth line. Through a case study, we…

The arrival time of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the vicinity of the Earth is one of the most important parameters in determining space weather. We have used a new approach to predicting this parameter. First, in our study, we have…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-10-08 Anitha Ravishankar , Grzegorz Michałek
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