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We propose a class of dynamic vine copula models. This is an extension of static vine copulas and a generalization of dynamic C-vine and D-vine copulas studied by Almeida et al (2016) and Goel and Mehra (2019). Within this class, we allow…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

I propose a novel approach for nonlinear Logistic regression using a two-layer neural network (NN) model structure with hierarchical priors on the network weights. I present a hybrid of expectation propagation called Variational Expectation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Kehinde Olobatuyi

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a powerful generative model that can estimate the probability of a data point by using latent variables. In the VAE, the posterior of the latent variable given the data point is regularized by the prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-30 Hiroshi Takahashi , Tomoharu Iwata , Yuki Yamanaka , Masanori Yamada , Satoshi Yagi

This paper proposes a new source model and training scheme to improve the accuracy and speed of the multichannel variational autoencoder (MVAE) method. The MVAE method is a recently proposed powerful multichannel source separation method.…

声音 · 计算机科学 2022-09-08 Li Li , Hirokazu Kameoka , Shoji Makino

Conditional variational autoencoders (CVAEs) are versatile deep generative models that extend the standard VAE framework by conditioning the generative model with auxiliary covariates. The original CVAE model assumes that the data samples…

Variational autoencoder (VAE) is a popular method for drug discovery and various architectures and pipelines have been proposed to improve its performance. However, VAE approaches are known to suffer from poor manifold recovery when the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Chenghui Zhou , Barnabas Poczos

Conditional neural processes (CNPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a) are attractive meta-learning models which produce well-calibrated predictions and are trainable via a simple maximum likelihood procedure. Although CNPs have many advantages, they…

We extend variational autoencoders (VAEs) to collaborative filtering for implicit feedback. This non-linear probabilistic model enables us to go beyond the limited modeling capacity of linear factor models which still largely dominate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Dawen Liang , Rahul G. Krishnan , Matthew D. Hoffman , Tony Jebara

Weather forecasting has seen a shift in methods from numerical simulations to data-driven systems. While initial research in the area focused on deterministic forecasting, recent works have used diffusion models to produce skillful ensemble…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Martin Andrae , Tomas Landelius , Joel Oskarsson , Fredrik Lindsten

Learning to infer the conditional posterior model is a key step for robust meta-learning. This paper presents a new Bayesian meta-learning approach called Neural Variational Dropout Processes (NVDPs). NVDPs model the conditional posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Insu Jeon , Youngjin Park , Gunhee Kim

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used extensively in various domains. We develop a new formula for the gradient of the CVaR in the form of a conditional expectation. Based on this formula, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-25 Aviv Tamar , Yonatan Glassner , Shie Mannor

Predicting pedestrian movement is critical for human behavior analysis and also for safe and efficient human-agent interactions. However, despite significant advancements, it is still challenging for existing approaches to capture the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 Pei Xu , Jean-Bernard Hayet , Ioannis Karamouzas

Learning interpretable and disentangled representations of data is a key topic in machine learning research. Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is a scalable method for learning directed latent variable models of complex data. It employs a clear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-04 Andriy Serdega , Dae-Shik Kim

Recent studies show that advanced priors play a major role in deep generative models. Exemplar VAE, as a variant of VAE with an exemplar-based prior, has achieved impressive results. However, due to the nature of model design, an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Qingzhong Ai , Lirong He , Shiyu Liu , Zenglin Xu

Inference networks of traditional Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are typically amortized, resulting in relatively inaccurate posterior approximation compared to instance-wise variational optimization. Recent semi-amortized approaches were…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-18 Minyoung Kim , Vladimir Pavlovic

We study a mean-field spike and slab variational Bayes (VB) approximation to Bayesian model selection priors in sparse high-dimensional linear regression. Under compatibility conditions on the design matrix, oracle inequalities are derived…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

Point forecasting of univariate time series is a challenging problem with extensive work having been conducted. However, nonparametric probabilistic forecasting of time series, such as in the form of quantiles or prediction intervals is an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-15 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore