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Recurrent Neural Networks have long been the dominating choice for sequence modeling. However, it severely suffers from two issues: impotent in capturing very long-term dependencies and unable to parallelize the sequential computation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-15 Zhiwei Wang , Yao Ma , Zitao Liu , Jiliang Tang

The massive generation of time-series data by largescale Internet of Things (IoT) devices necessitates the exploration of more effective models for multivariate time-series forecasting. In previous models, there was a predominant use of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Wenyong Han , Tao Zhu Member , Liming Chen , Huansheng Ning , Yang Luo , Yaping Wan

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

Transformers are increasingly adopted for modeling and forecasting time-series, yet their internal mechanisms remain poorly understood from a dynamical systems perspective. In contrast to classical autoregressive and state-space models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Gregory Duthé , Nikolaos Evangelou , Wei Liu , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Eleni Chatzi

When deploying time series forecasting models based on machine learning to real world settings, one often encounter situations where the data distribution drifts. Such drifts expose the forecasting models to out-of-distribution (OOD) data,…

In this work we propose for the first time a transformer-based framework for unsupervised representation learning of multivariate time series. Pre-trained models can be potentially used for downstream tasks such as regression and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 George Zerveas , Srideepika Jayaraman , Dhaval Patel , Anuradha Bhamidipaty , Carsten Eickhoff

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTSF) is fundamental to various real-world applications, where Transformer-based models have become the dominant framework due to their ability to capture long-range dependencies. However, these models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Mingjie Li , Rui Liu , Guangsi Shi , Mingfei Han , Changling Li , Lina Yao , Xiaojun Chang , Ling Chen

In an era of increasing computational capabilities and growing environmental consciousness, organizations face a critical challenge in balancing the accuracy of forecasting models with computational efficiency and sustainability. Global…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-15 Marco Zanotti

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and resource management to climate modeling. While recent generative models based on denoising diffusion have advanced state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

Time series forecasting is prevalent in extensive real-world applications, such as financial analysis and energy planning. Previous studies primarily focus on time series modality, endeavoring to capture the intricate variations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Jiaxiang Dong , Haixu Wu , Yuxuan Wang , Li Zhang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Residual error propagation remains a fundamental problem in recurrent models, where small prediction inaccuracies compound over time and degrade long-horizon performance. Accurately modeling the correlation structure of such residuals is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Esther Rodrigo Bonet , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

This work presents, to the best of the authors' knowledge, the first generalizable and fully data-driven adaptive framework designed to stabilize deep learning (DL) autoregressive forecasting models over long time horizons, with the goal of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-06 Rodrigo Abadía-Heredia , Manuel Lopez-Martin , Soledad Le Clainche

Recent deep learning models for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) often emphasize complex, handcrafted designs, while simpler architectures like linear models or MLPs have often outperformed these intricate solutions. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Yihang Lu , Yangyang Xu , Qitao Qing , Xianwei Meng

The analysis of long sequence data remains challenging in many real-world applications. We propose a novel architecture, ChunkFormer, that improves the existing Transformer framework to handle the challenges while dealing with long time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Yue Ju , Alka Isac , Yimin Nie

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

The past several years have witnessed the success of transformer-based models, and their scale and application scenarios continue to grow aggressively. The current landscape of transformer models is increasingly diverse: the model size…

Cloud native solutions are widely applied in various fields, placing higher demands on the efficient management and utilization of resource platforms. To achieve the efficiency, load forecasting and elastic scaling have become crucial…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Linfeng Wen , Minxian Xu , Adel N. Toosi , Kejiang Ye

Although Transformers excel in natural language processing, their extension to time series forecasting remains challenging due to insufficient consideration of the differences between textual and temporal modalities. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Xuan Tang , Baixin Li , Yongsheng Huang , Mingyang Geng , Changsheng Zhang , Bin Zhang , Binwu Wang