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We introduce a family of multiscale stick-breaking mixture models for Bayesian nonparametric density estimation. The Bayesian nonparametric literature is dominated by single scale methods, exception made for P\`olya trees and allied…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-17 Marco Stefanucci , Antonio Canale

Stick-breaking (SB) processes are often adopted in Bayesian mixture models for generating mixing weights. When covariates influence the sizes of clusters, SB mixtures are particularly convenient as they can leverage their connection to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-16 Akira Horiguchi , Cliburn Chan , Li Ma

The combinatorial sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC) has been demonstrated to be an efficient complementary method to the standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for Bayesian phylogenetic tree inference using biological sequences. It is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-12 Shijia Wang , Liangliang Wang

Bayesian phylogenetic inference is currently done via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with simple proposal mechanisms. This hinders exploration efficiency and often requires long runs to deliver accurate posterior estimates. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

We present a sequential sampling methodology for weakly structural Markov laws, arising naturally in a Bayesian structure learning context for decomposable graphical models. As a key component of our suggested approach, we show that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-04 Jimmy Olsson , Tetyana Pavlenko , Felix L. Rios

We propose a variable splitting binary tree (VSBT) model based on Bayesian context tree (BCT) models for time series segmentation. Unlike previous applications of BCT models, the tree structure in our model represents interval partitioning…

Many data are naturally modeled by an unobserved hierarchical structure. In this paper we propose a flexible nonparametric prior over unknown data hierarchies. The approach uses nested stick-breaking processes to allow for trees of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-08 Ryan Prescott Adams , Zoubin Ghahramani , Michael I. Jordan

To model categorical response variables given their covariates, we propose a permuted and augmented stick-breaking (paSB) construction that one-to-one maps the observed categories to randomly permuted latent sticks. This new construction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Quan Zhang , Mingyuan Zhou

In Bayesian learning of Gaussian graphical model structure, it is common to restrict attention to certain classes of graphs and approximate the posterior distribution by repeatedly moving from one graph to another, using MCMC or methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-01 Edmund Jones

Approximate Bayesian inference for models with computationally expensive, black-box likelihoods poses a significant challenge, especially when the posterior distribution is complex. Many inference methods struggle to explore the parameter…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Francesco Silvestrin , Chengkun Li , Luigi Acerbi

We study the computational complexity of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression under sparsity constraints. We first show that a Bayesian approach can achieve variable-selection consistency…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-01 Yun Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for unveiling the structure of the invariant global stable manifold from observed time-series data. The underlying unknown dynamical process is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-08 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Konstantinos Kaloudis

Few Bayesian methods for analyzing high-dimensional sparse survival data provide scalable variable selection, effect estimation and uncertainty quantification. Such methods often either sacrifice uncertainty quantification by computing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-06 Michael Komodromos , Eric Aboagye , Marina Evangelou , Sarah Filippi , Kolyan Ray

We present VBPI-Mixtures, an algorithm designed to enhance the accuracy of phylogenetic posterior distributions, particularly for tree-topology and branch-length approximations. Despite the Variational Bayesian Phylogenetic Inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-03 Oskar Kviman , Ricky Molén , Jens Lagergren

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the joint reconstruction and prediction of discrete time stochastic dynamical systems, based on $m$-multiple time-series data, perturbed by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-27 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Christos Merkatas

Bayesian Decision Trees (DTs) are generally considered a more advanced and accurate model than a regular Decision Tree (DT) because they can handle complex and uncertain data. Existing work on Bayesian DTs uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Alexander M. Phillips , Paul G. Spirakis , Simon Maskell

Gaussian and discrete non-Gaussian spatial datasets are common across fields like public health, ecology, geosciences, and social sciences. Bayesian spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are a flexible class of models for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Jin Hyung Lee , Ben Seiyon Lee

Reconstructing the evolutionary history relating a collection of molecular sequences is the main subject of modern Bayesian phylogenetic inference. However, the commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be inefficient due to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Tianyu Xie , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard , Cheng Zhang

Probability estimation of tree topologies is one of the fundamental tasks in phylogenetic inference. The recently proposed subsplit Bayesian networks (SBNs) provide a powerful probabilistic graphical model for tree topology probability…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-09-10 Tianyu Xie , Musu Yuan , Minghua Deng , Cheng Zhang
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