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Estimates of predictive uncertainty are important for accurate model-based planning and reinforcement learning. However, predictive uncertainties---especially ones derived from modern deep learning systems---can be inaccurate and impose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-21 Ali Malik , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Jiaming Song , Danny Nemer , Harlan Seymour , Stefano Ermon

The insurance industry, with its large datasets, is a natural place to use big data solutions. However it must be stressed, that significant number of applications for machine learning in insurance industry, like fraud detection or claim…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-04-14 Sebastian Baran , Przemysław Rola

Numerous studies attempt to mitigate classification bias caused by class imbalance. However, existing studies have yet to explore the collaborative optimization of imbalanced learning and model training. This constraint hinders further…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Chuantao Li , Zhi Li , Jiahao Xu , Jie Li , Sheng Li

Calibrating deep neural models plays an important role in building reliable, robust AI systems in safety-critical applications. Recent work has shown that modern neural networks that possess high predictive capability are poorly calibrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Cheng Wang

Compounding error, where small prediction mistakes accumulate over time, presents a major challenge in learning-based control. For example, this issue often limits the performance of model-based reinforcement learning and imitation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-03 Anne Somalwar , Bruce D. Lee , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

As predictive models -- e.g., from machine learning -- give likely outcomes, they may be used to reason on the effect of an intervention, a causal-inference task. The increasing complexity of health data has opened the door to a plethora of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-17 Matthieu Doutreligne , Gaël Varoquaux

Machine learning (ML) models have difficulty generalizing when the number of training class instances are numerically imbalanced. The problem of generalization in the face of data imbalance has largely been attributed to the lack of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-16 Damien A. Dablain , Nitesh V. Chawla

Deep convolutional neural networks have made significant breakthroughs in medical image classification, under the assumption that training samples from all classes are simultaneously available. However, in real-world medical scenarios,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Xuze Hao , Wenqian Ni , Xuhao Jiang , Weimin Tan , Bo Yan

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used to inform critical decisions. There is a growing concern about bias, that algorithms may produce uneven outcomes for individuals in different demographic groups. In this work, we measure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-01 Runshan Fu , Yangfan Liang , Peter Zhang

For many applications of probabilistic classifiers it is important that the predicted confidence vectors reflect true probabilities (one says that the classifier is calibrated). It has been shown that common models fail to satisfy this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-10 Michael Panchenko , Anes Benmerzoug , Miguel de Benito Delgado

The class-wise training losses often diverge as a result of the various levels of intra-class and inter-class appearance variation, and we find that the diverging class-wise training losses cause the uncalibrated prediction with its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Seungjin Jung , Seungmo Seo , Yonghyun Jeong , Jongwon Choi

The use of machine learning to guide clinical decision making has the potential to worsen existing health disparities. Several recent works frame the problem as that of algorithmic fairness, a framework that has attracted considerable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-16 Stephen R. Pfohl , Agata Foryciarz , Nigam H. Shah

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made great strides in pushing the state-of-the-art in several challenging domains. Recent studies reveal that they are prone to making overconfident predictions. This greatly reduces the overall trust in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Vinith Kugathasan , Muhammad Haris Khan

We consider a patient risk models which has access to patient features such as vital signs, lab values, and prior history but does not have access to a patient's diagnosis. For example, this occurs in a model deployed at intake time for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-07-03 Alexander Peysakhovich , Rich Caruana , Yin Aphinyanaphongs

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have enormous potential to perform few-shot in-context learning in the context of medical image analysis. However, safe deployment of these models into real-world clinical practice requires an…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-22 Xing Shen , Justin Szeto , Mingyang Li , Hengguan Huang , Tal Arbel

Data imbalance is common in production data, where controlled production settings require data to fall within a narrow range of variation and data are collected with quality assessment in mind, rather than data analytic insights. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-17 Rune D. Kjærsgaard , Manja G. Grønberg , Line K. H. Clemmensen

Machine learning models are widely used, but can also often be wrong. Users would benefit from a reliable indication of whether a given output from a given model should be trusted, so a rational decision can be made whether to use the…

As algorithms increasingly inform and influence decisions made about individuals, it becomes increasingly important to address concerns that these algorithms might be discriminatory. The output of an algorithm can be discriminatory for many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-19 Úrsula Hébert-Johnson , Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold , Guy N. Rothblum

In imbalanced multi-class classification problems, the misclassification rate as an error measure may not be a relevant choice. Several methods have been developed where the performance measure retained richer information than the mere…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-11-05 Sokol Koço , Cécile Capponi

ML-based predictions are used to inform consequential decisions about individuals. How should we use predictions (e.g., risk of heart attack) to inform downstream binary classification decisions (e.g., undergoing a medical procedure)? When…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Guy N. Rothblum , Gal Yona