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The ranking of experiments by expected information gain (EIG) in Bayesian experimental design is sensitive to changes in the model's prior distribution, and the approximation of EIG yielded by sampling will have errors similar to the use of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-23 Jinwoo Go , Tobin Isaac

We present a novel stochastic approach to binary optimization for optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian inverse problems governed by mathematical models such as partial differential equations. The OED utility function, namely, the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-28 Ahmed Attia , Sven Leyffer , Todd Munson

This paper introduces a novel approach to embed flow-based models with hierarchical structures. The proposed framework is named Variational Flow Graphical (VFG) Model. VFGs learn the representation of high dimensional data via a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-07 Shaogang Ren , Belhal Karimi , Dingcheng Li , Ping Li

We consider the closely related problems of sampling from a distribution known up to a normalizing constant, and estimating said normalizing constant. We show how variational autoencoders (VAEs) can be applied to this task. In their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-22 George T. Cantwell

The ability to design effective experiments is crucial for obtaining data that can substantially reduce the uncertainty in the predictions made using computational models. An optimal experimental design (OED) refers to the choice of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-17 Troy Butler , John Jakeman , Michael Pilosov , Scott Walsh , Timothy Wildey

We introduce a novel one-parameter variational objective that lower bounds the data evidence and enables the estimation of approximate fractional posteriors. We extend this framework to hierarchical construction and Bayes posteriors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Kian Ming A. Chai , Edwin V. Bonilla

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Bayesian optimization (BO) based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) is applied to different CFD (computational fluid dynamics) problems which can be of practical relevance. The problems are i) shape optimization in a lid-driven cavity to…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-11-15 Y. Morita , S. Rezaeiravesh , N. Tabatabaei , R. Vinuesa , K. Fukagata , P. Schlatter

Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

In the past few years, deep generative models, such as generative adversarial networks \autocite{GAN}, variational autoencoders \autocite{vaepaper}, and their variants, have seen wide adoption for the task of modelling complex data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-02 Guilherme G. P. Freitas Pires , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

We present an efficient method for computing A-optimal experimental designs for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). Specifically, we address the problem of optimizing the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-05-29 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

Bayesian optimization (BO) has shown impressive results in a variety of applications within low-to-moderate dimensional Euclidean spaces. However, extending BO to high-dimensional settings remains a significant challenge. We address this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Shouri Hu , Jiawei Li , Zhibo Cai

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

Bayesian predictive inference propagates parameter uncertainty to quantities of interest through the posterior-predictive distribution. In practice, this is typically performed using a two-stage procedure: first approximating the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Nan Feng , Xun Huan

The Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is a powerful framework for learning probabilistic latent variable generative models. However, typical assumptions on the approximate posterior distribution of the encoder and/or the prior, seriously…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-13 Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou , Elan Rosenfeld , Artur Dubrawski

The framework of normalizing flows provides a general strategy for flexible variational inference of posteriors over latent variables. We propose a new type of normalizing flow, inverse autoregressive flow (IAF), that, in contrast to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-01 Diederik P. Kingma , Tim Salimans , Rafal Jozefowicz , Xi Chen , Ilya Sutskever , Max Welling

Variational Bayes (VB) has become a widely-used tool for Bayesian inference in statistics and machine learning. Nonetheless, the development of the existing VB algorithms is so far generally restricted to the case where the variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-04 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Dang H. Nguyen , Duy Nguyen

The Design of Experiments (DOEs) is a fundamental scientific methodology that provides researchers with systematic principles and techniques to enhance the validity, reliability, and efficiency of experimental outcomes. In this study, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Miao Huang , Hongqiao Wang , Kunyu Wu

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann