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Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding

Wind energy resource assessment typically requires numerical models, but such models are too computationally intensive to consider multi-year timescales. Increasingly, unsupervised machine learning techniques are used to identify a small…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Mariana C A Clare , Simon C Warder , Robert Neal , B Bhaskaran , Matthew D Piggott

Multivariate long-term time series forecasting is critical for applications such as weather prediction, and traffic analysis. In addition, the implementation of Transformer variants has improved prediction accuracy. Following these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Minhyuk Lee , HyeKyung Yoon , MyungJoo Kang

How can short-term energy consumption be accurately forecasted when sensor data is noisy, incomplete, and lacks contextual richness? This question guided our participation in the \textit{2025 Competition on Electric Energy Consumption…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Sarah Al-Shareeda , Gulcihan Ozdemir , Heung Seok Jeon , Khaleel Ahmad

Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) has been successfully applied in many sequence learning problems. Such as handwriting recognition, image description, natural language processing and video motion analysis. After years of development,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-01 Guoqiang Zhong , Guohua Yue , Xiao Ling

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of mortality worldwide, underscoring the need for reliable and efficient predictive tools that support early intervention. Traditional diagnostic approaches rely on handcrafted features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Tejaswani Dash , Gautam Datla , Anudeep Vurity , Tazeem Ahmad , Mohd Adnan , Saima Rafi , Saisha Patro , Saina Patro

Deep learning methods have gained popularity in recent years through the media and the relative ease of implementation through open source packages such as Keras. We investigate the applicability of popular recurrent neural networks in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Andrew T. Karl , James Wisnowski , Lambros Petropoulos

Predicting and classifying faults in electricity networks is crucial for uninterrupted provision and keeping maintenance costs at a minimum. Thanks to the advancements in the field provided by the smart grid, several data-driven approaches…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-07-16 Emad Efatinasab , Francesco Marchiori , Alessandro Brighente , Mirco Rampazzo , Mauro Conti

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

The time-series forecasting (TSF) problem is a traditional problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Models such as Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), and GRU (Gate Recurrent Units) have contributed to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Sunghyun Sim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

Wind power generated by wind has non-schedule nature due to stochastic nature of meteorological variable. Hence energy business and control of wind power generation requires prediction of wind speed (WS) from few seconds to different time…

Optical turbulence, driven by fluctuations of the atmospheric refractive index, poses a significant challenge to ground-based optical systems, as it distorts the propagation of light. This degradation affects both astronomical observations…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-03-26 Mary Joe Medlej , Rahul Srinivasan , Simon Prunet , Aziz Ziad , Christophe Giordano

In this paper, we present a novel approach to modeling long-term dependencies in sequential data by introducing a gated recurrent unit (GRU) with a weighted time-delay feedback mechanism. Our proposed model, named $\tau$-GRU, is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 N. Benjamin Erichson , Soon Hoe Lim , Michael W. Mahoney

Spatio-temporal forecasting is critical in applications such as traffic prediction, energy demand modeling, and weather monitoring. While Graph Attention Networks (GATs) are popular for modeling spatial dependencies, they rely on predefined…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Sai Vamsi Alisetti , Vikas Kalagi , Sanjukta Krishnagopal

Real-world problems often involve complex and unstructured sets of measurements, which occur when sensors are sparsely placed in either space or time. Being able to model this irregular spatiotemporal data and extract meaningful forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Arnaud Pannatier , Kyle Matoba , François Fleuret

Accurate real-time traffic forecasting is a core technological problem against the implementation of the intelligent transportation system. However, it remains challenging considering the complex spatial and temporal dependencies among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Jiawei Zhu , Yujiao Song , Ling Zhao , Haifeng Li

A deep-learning-based hybrid strategy for short-term load forecasting is presented. The strategy proposes a novel tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB). Current strategies either ensemble submodels of a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Yuexin Zhang , Jiahong Wang

Accurate wind power forecasts depend on reliable wind speed forecasts. Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) utilize huge amounts of computing time, but still have rather low spatial and temporal resolution. However, stochastic wind speed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-10 Daniel Ambach , Carsten Croonenbroeck

The ability to predict wind is crucial for both energy production and weather forecasting. Mechanistic models that form the basis of traditional forecasting perform poorly near the ground. In this paper, we take an alternative data-driven…