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In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

Interpretability methods that utilise local surrogate models (e.g. LIME) are very good at describing the behaviour of the predictive model at a point of interest, but they are not guaranteed to extrapolate to the local region surrounding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Marton Havasi , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

Time series interpretation aims to provide an explanation of what is observed in terms of its underlying processes. The present work is based on the assumption that the common classification-based approaches to time series interpretation…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-12-09 Tomás Teijeiro , Paulo Félix

Observational studies provide invaluable opportunities to draw causal inference, but they may suffer from biases due to pretreatment difference between treated and control units. Matching is a popular approach to reduce observed covariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-17 Xinran Li

*Concept-based explanations* offer a promising approach for explaining the predictions of deep neural networks in terms of high-level, human-understandable concepts. However, existing methods either do not establish a causal connection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Ronaldo Canizales , Divya Gopinath , Corina Păsăreanu , Ravi Mangal

Mixture models are often used to identify meaningful subpopulations (i.e., clusters) in observed data such that the subpopulations have a real-world interpretation (e.g., as cell types). However, when used for subpopulation discovery,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-04 Jiawei Li , Jonathan H. Huggins

Counterfactual Explanations are becoming a de-facto standard in post-hoc interpretable machine learning. For a given classifier and an instance classified in an undesired class, its counterfactual explanation corresponds to small…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Veronica Piccialli , Dolores Romero Morales , Cecilia Salvatore

Explainable AI is a crucial component for edge services, as it ensures reliable decision making based on complex AI models. Surrogate models are a prominent approach of XAI where human-interpretable models, such as a linear regression…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Foivos Charalampakos , Thomas Tsouparopoulos , Iordanis Koutsopoulos

The problem of sparse approximation and the closely related compressed sensing have received tremendous attention in the past decade. Primarily studied from the viewpoint of applied harmonic analysis and signal processing, there have been…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-10-23 Ali Çivril

Detecting anomalies in large sets of observations is crucial in various applications, such as epidemiological studies, gene expression studies, and systems monitoring. We consider settings where the units of interest result in multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro , Ery Arias-Castro

A new theoretical technique for understanding, analyzing and developing optical systems is presented. The approach is statistical in nature, where information about an object under investigation is discovered, by examining deviations from a…

光学 · 物理学 2016-09-20 Damien P. Kelly

Selecting input features of top relevance has become a popular method for building self-explaining models. In this work, we extend this selective rationalization approach to text matching, where the goal is to jointly select and align text…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-28 Kyle Swanson , Lili Yu , Tao Lei

Local explanation frameworks aim to rationalize particular decisions made by a black-box prediction model. Existing techniques are often restricted to a specific type of predictor or based on input saliency, which may be undesirably…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-12 Brandon Carter , Jonas Mueller , Siddhartha Jain , David Gifford

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

We develop a novel method for counterfactual analysis based on observational data using prediction intervals for units under different exposures. Unlike methods that target heterogeneous or conditional average treatment effects of an…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-18 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution and detailed analyses of how models learn from data. In recent years, conformal prediction has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Matteo Sesia , Stefano Favaro

In many areas, practitioners seek to use observational data to learn a treatment assignment policy that satisfies application-specific constraints, such as budget, fairness, simplicity, or other functional form constraints. For example,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

Reasoning about uncertainty is vital in many real-life autonomous systems. However, current state-of-the-art planning algorithms cannot either reason about uncertainty explicitly, or do so with a high computational burden. Here, we focus on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-01-31 Moran Barenboim , Vadim Indelman

The problem of individualized prediction can be addressed using variants of conformal prediction, obtaining the intervals to which the actual values of the variables of interest belong. Here we present a method based on detecting the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Fernando Delbianco , Fernando Tohmé

This paper develops projection pursuit for discrete data using the discrete Radon transform. Discrete projection pursuit is presented as an exploratory method for finding informative low dimensional views of data such as binary vectors,…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Persi Diaconis , Julia Salzman