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相关论文: Towards a representative social cost of carbon

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An updated and extended meta-analysis confirms that the central estimate of the social cost of carbon is around $200/tC with a large, right-skewed uncertainty and trending up. The pure rate of time preference and the inverse of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-13 Richard S. J. Tol

We estimate the national social cost of carbon using a recent meta-analysis of the total impact of climate change and a standard integrated assessment model. The average social cost of carbon closely follows per capita income, the national…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-21 Matthew K. Agrawala , Richard S. J. Tol

The social cost of carbon is the damage avoided by slightly reducing carbon dioxide emissions. It is a measure of the desired intensity of climate policy. The social cost of carbon is highly uncertain because of the long and complex…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-20 Richard S. J. Tol

A large database of published model results is used to estimate the distribution of the social cost of carbon as a function of the underlying assumptions. The literature on the social cost of carbon deviates in its assumptions from the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-03 Richard S. J. Tol

A meta-analysis of published estimates shows that the social cost of carbon has increased as knowledge about climate change accumulates. Correcting for inflation and emission year and controlling for the discount rate, kernel density…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-04 Richard S. J. Tol

Preference heterogeneity massively increases the social cost of carbon. We call this the Weitzman premium. Uncertainty about an exponential discount rate implies a hyperbolic discount rate, which in the near term is equal to the average…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-04 Jinchi Dong , Richard S. J. Tol , Fangzhi Wang

The social cost of carbon (SCC) serves as a concise gauge of climate change's economic impact, often reported at the global and country level. SCC values are disproportionately high for less-developed, populous countries. Assessing the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-03 Francisco Estrada , Veronica Lupi , Wouter Botzen , Richard S. J. Tol

There is great uncertainty about future climate conditions and the appropriate policies for managing interactions between the climate and the economy. We develop a multidimensional computational model to examine how uncertainties and risks…

经济学 · 定量金融 2015-04-30 Yongyang Cai , Kenneth L. Judd , Thomas S. Lontzek

There are many published estimates of the social cost of carbon. Some are clear outliers, the result of poorly constrained models. Percentile winsorizing is an option, but I here propose conceptual winsorizing: The social cost of carbon is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-13 Richard S. J. Tol

Carbon prices are one of the most prominent methods to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions and have been adopted by several countries around the world. However, regionally different carbon prices can lead to carbon leakage. We…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-02-15 Markus Schlott , Fabian Hofmann , Changlong Wang , R. O. Gomes , Alexander Kies

How should nations price carbon? This paper examines how the treatment of global inequality, captured by regional welfare weights, affects optimal carbon prices. I develop theory to identify the conditions under which accounting for…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-07 Simon F. Lang

This paper presents a refined country-level integrated assessment model, FUND 3.9n, that extends the regional FUND 3.9 framework by incorporating sector-specific climate impact functions and parametric uncertainty analysis for 198…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-05 In Chang Hwang , Richard S. J. Tol

Global warming is one of the main threats to the future of humanity and extensive emissions of greenhouse gases are found to be the main cause of global temperature rise as well as climate change. During the last decades international…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-05-13 Markus Schlott , Omar El Sayed , Mariia Bilousova , Fabian Hofmann , Alexander Kies , Horst Stöcker

Carbon futures has recently emerged as a novel financial asset in the trading markets such as the European Union and China. Monitoring the trend of the carbon price has become critical for both national policy-making as well as industrial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-08 Tianqi Pang , Kehui Tan , Chenyou Fan

By its nature, the so-called social cost of carbon (SCC(t)) will likely not cover the cost induced by climate change (damage cost and abatement cost) if it is used as a CO$_2$-price. It is a marginal price only. We define an implied…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-30 Christian P. Fries

An increasing share of consumers care about the carbon footprint of their electricity. This paper analyzes a method to integrate consumer carbon preferences in the electricity market-clearing by introducing consumer-based carbon costs and a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-27 Wenqian Jiang , Aditya Rangarajan , Line Roald

A new version of the database for the meta-analysis of estimates of the social cost of carbon is presented. New records were added, and new fields on gender and stochasticity.

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-21 Richard S. J. Tol

We develop a dynamic multi-region climate-economy model with emissions trading and solve for the dynamic Nash equilibrium under noncooperation, where each region follows Paris Agreement-based emissions caps. The permit price reaches $923…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-09 Yongyang Cai , Khyati Malik , Hyeseon Shin

Climate (change) affects the prices of goods and services in different countries or regions differently. Simply relying on aggregate measures or summary statistics, such as the impact of average country temperature changes on HICP headline…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-09 Paulo M. M. Rodrigues , Mirjam Salish , Nazarii Salish

There is much disagreement concerning how best to control global carbon emissions. We explore quantitatively how different control schemes affect the collective emission dynamics of a population of emitting entities. We uncover a complex…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-07-12 Zhenyuan Zhao , Dan Fenn , Pak Ming Hui , Neil F. Johnson
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