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Extreme floods cause casualties, and widespread damage to property and vital civil infrastructure. We here propose a Bayesian approach for predicting extreme floods using the generalized extreme-value (GEV) distribution within gauged and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-07 Árni V. Johannesson , Stefan Siegert , Raphaël Huser , Haakon Bakka , Birgir Hrafnkelsson

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

The field of meteorological forecasting has undergone a significant transformation with the integration of large models, especially those employing deep learning techniques. This paper reviews the advancements and applications of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-11 Hailong Shu , Yue Wang , Weiwei Song , Huichuang Guo , Zhen Song

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

Global medium-range weather forecasting is critical to decision-making across many social and economic domains. Traditional numerical weather prediction uses increased compute resources to improve forecast accuracy, but cannot directly use…

Floods are large-scale natural disasters that often induce a massive number of deaths, extensive material damage, and economic turmoil. The effects are more extensive and longer-lasting in high-population and low-resource developing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Ahan M R , Roshan Roy , Shreyas Sunil Kulkarni , Vaibhav Soni , Ashish Chittora

Natural disaster monitoring through continuous satellite observation requires processing multi-temporal data under strict operational constraints. This paper addresses flood detection, a critical application for hazard management, by…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Daniel Kyselica , Jonáš Herec , Oliver Kutis , Rado Pitoňák

Reliable long-term forecasting of Earth system dynamics is fundamentally limited by instabilities in current artificial intelligence (AI) models during extended autoregressive simulations. These failures often originate from inherent…

Accurate monsoon rainfall prediction is vital for India's agriculture, water management, and climate risk planning, yet remains challenging due to sparse ground observations and complex regional variability. We present a multimodal deep…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Swaib Ilias Mazumder , Manish Kumar , Aparajita Khan

Forecasting surface water dynamics is crucial for water resource management and climate change adaptation. However, the field lacks comprehensive datasets and standardized benchmarks. In this paper, we introduce HydroChronos, a large-scale,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Daniele Rege Cambrin , Eleonora Poeta , Eliana Pastor , Isaac Corley , Tania Cerquitelli , Elena Baralis , Paolo Garza

We explore adapting foundation models (FMs) from the computer vision domain to geoscience. FMs, large neural networks trained on massive datasets, excel in diverse tasks with remarkable adaptability and generality. However, geoscience faces…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-08-23 Zhixiang Guo , Xinming Wu , Luming Liang , Hanlin Sheng , Nuo Chen , Zhengfa Bi

We propose a framework that estimates inundation depth (maximum water level) and debris-flow-induced topographic deformation from remote sensing imagery by integrating deep learning and numerical simulation. A water and debris flow…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-06-11 Naoto Yokoya , Kazuki Yamanoi , Wei He , Gerald Baier , Bruno Adriano , Hiroyuki Miura , Satoru Oishi

Detecting roadway segments inundated due to floodwater has important applications for vehicle routing and traffic management decisions. This paper proposes a set of algorithms to automatically detect floodwater that may be present in an…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Cem Sazara , Mecit Cetin , Khan M. Iftekharuddin

Data-driven flood forecasting methods are useful, especially for the rivers that lack hydrological information to build physical models. Although these former methods can forecast river stages using only past water levels and rainfall data,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-04-07 Shunya Okuno , Koji Ikeuchi , Kazuyuki Aihara

Precipitation nowcasting remains challenging due to the highly localized, rapidly evolving, and heterogeneous nature of atmospheric dynamics. Although recent methods increasingly adopt attention-based architectures in both unimodal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Penghui Wen , Zexin Hu , Sen Zhang , Patrick Filippi , Xiaogang Zhu , Allen Benter , Thomas Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

Accurate precipitation forecasting is crucial for early warnings of disasters, such as floods and landslides. Traditional forecasts rely on ground-based radar systems, which are space-constrained and have high maintenance costs.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Young-Jae Park , Doyi Kim , Minseok Seo , Hae-Gon Jeon , Yeji Choi

Precipitation nowcasting, critical for flood emergency and river management, has remained challenging for decades, although recent developments in deep generative modeling (DGM) suggest the possibility of improvements. River management…

Gradient boosting has become a cornerstone of machine learning, enabling base learners such as decision trees to achieve exceptional predictive performance. While existing algorithms primarily handle scalar or Euclidean outputs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Yidong Zhou , Su I Iao , Hans-Georg Müller

Computational complexity has been the bottleneck of applying physically-based simulations on large urban areas with high spatial resolution for efficient and systematic flooding analyses and risk assessments. To address this issue of long…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-14 Zifeng Guo , Joao P. Leitao , Nuno E. Simoes , Vahid Moosavi

The objective of this study is to create and test a hybrid deep learning model, FastGRNN-FCN (Fast, Accurate, Stable and Tiny Gated Recurrent Neural Network-Fully Convolutional Network), for urban flood prediction and situation awareness…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-09 Shangjia Dong , Tianbo Yu , Hamed Farahmand , Ali Mostafavi