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Origin-Destination (OD) matrices record directional flow data between pairs of OD regions. The intricate spatiotemporal dependency in the matrices makes the OD matrix forecasting (ODMF) problem not only intractable but also non-trivial.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-18 Jin Huang , Bosong Huang , Weihao Yu , Jing Xiao , Ruzhong Xie , Ke Ruan

Periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time series data and has long played a central role in forecasting. Recent deep learning methods strengthen the exploitation of periodicity by treating patches as basic tokens, thereby…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Yongxin Tong

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a crucial aspect of modern society, playing a pivotal role in facilitating long-term planning and developing early warning systems. While many Transformer-based models have recently been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Jiaxin Gao , Wenbo Hu , Yuntian Chen

The self-attention mechanism in Transformer architecture, invariant to sequence order, necessitates positional embeddings to encode temporal order in time series prediction. We argue that this reliance on positional embeddings restricts the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-21 Yongbo Yu , Weizhong Yu , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Algorithms for the action segmentation task typically use temporal models to predict what action is occurring at each frame for a minute-long daily activity. Recent studies have shown the potential of Transformer in modeling the relations…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Fangqiu Yi , Hongyu Wen , Tingting Jiang

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Self-supervised learning has garnered increasing attention in time series analysis for benefiting various downstream tasks and reducing reliance on labeled data. Despite its effectiveness, existing methods often struggle to comprehensively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Daoyu Wang , Mingyue Cheng , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Real-world time series data are inherently multivariate, often exhibiting complex inter-channel dependencies. Each channel is typically sampled at its own period and is prone to missing values due to various practical and operational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Jinkwan Jang , Hyungjin Park , Jinmyeong Choi , Taesup Kim

We reveal that transformers trained in an autoregressive manner naturally encode time-delayed causal structures in their learned representations. When predicting future values in multivariate time series, the gradient sensitivities of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-12 Xinyue Wang , Stephen Wang , Biwei Huang

Causal discovery is the subfield of causal inference concerned with estimating the structure of cause-and-effect relationships in a system of interrelated variables, as opposed to quantifying the strength or describing the form of causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Rebecca F. Supple , Hannah Worthington , Ben Swallow

Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines. Of particular importance across a variety of domains is the continuous treatment setting, where the variable of intervention has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Christopher Stith , Medha Barath , Vahid Balazadeh , Jesse C. Cresswell , Rahul G. Krishnan

In multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), accurately modeling the intricate dependencies among multiple variables remains a significant challenge due to the inherent limitations of traditional approaches. Most existing models adopt…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Yuchen Luo , Xinyu Li , Liuhua Peng , Mingming Gong

Multivariate time series in domains such as finance, climate science, and healthcare often exhibit long-term trends, seasonal patterns, and short-term fluctuations, complicating causal inference under non-stationarity and autocorrelation.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Md Osman Gani

This study addresses the problem of convolutional kernel learning in univariate, multivariate, and multidimensional time series data, which is crucial for interpreting temporal patterns in time series and supporting downstream machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-17 Xinyu Chen , HanQin Cai , Fuqiang Liu , Jinhua Zhao

Causal structure discovery in complex dynamical systems is an important challenge for many scientific domains. Although data from (interventional) experiments is usually limited, large amounts of observational time series data sets are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Bart Bussmann , Jannes Nys , Steven Latré

We address the challenging task of human reaction generation, which aims to generate a corresponding reaction based on an input action. Most of the existing works do not focus on generating and predicting the reaction and cannot generate…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-02-03 Baptiste Chopin , Hao Tang , Naima Otberdout , Mohamed Daoudi , Nicu Sebe

Unsupervised anomaly detection of multivariate time series is a challenging task, given the requirements of deriving a compact detection criterion without accessing the anomaly points. The existing methods are mainly based on reconstruction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Qingxiang Liu , Xiaoliang Luo , Chenghao Liu , Sheng Sun , Di Yao , Lvchun Wang , Wei Yu , Yuxuan Liang

Time-series forecasts are essential for planning and decision-making in many domains. Explainability is key to building user trust and meeting transparency requirements. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is a popular explainable AI…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Matthias Hertel , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schäfer

Despite recent advances in learning-based behavioral planning for autonomous systems, decision-making in multi-task missions remains a challenging problem. For instance, a mission might require a robot to explore an unknown environment,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Akash Karthikeyan , Yash Vardhan Pant

Time series generation is critical for a wide range of applications, which greatly supports downstream analytical and decision-making tasks. However, the inherent temporal heterogeneous induced by localized perturbations present significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Zirui Liu , Xianquan Wang , Yitong Zhou , Qi Liu