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This paper addresses a key limitation in existing counterfactual inference methods for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Current approaches assume a specific causal model to make counterfactuals identifiable. However, there are usually many…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Jessica Lally , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

In observational studies, potential unobserved confounding is a major barrier in isolating the average causal effect (ACE). In these scenarios, two main approaches are often used: confounder adjustment for causality (CAC) and instrumental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Roy S. Zawadzki , Daniel L. Gillen

In real-world machine learning systems, labels are often derived from user behaviors that the system wishes to encourage. Over time, new models must be trained as new training examples and features become available. However, feedback loops…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Victoria Lin , Louis-Philippe Morency , Dimitrios Dimitriadis , Srinagesh Sharma

External reasoning systems combine language models with process reward models (PRMs) to select high-quality reasoning paths for complex tasks such as mathematical problem solving. However, these systems are prone to reward hacking, where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 Ruike Song , Zeen Song , Huijie Guo , Wenwen Qiang

Previous work has examined how debiasing language models affect downstream tasks, specifically, how debiasing techniques influence task performance and whether debiased models also make impartial predictions in downstream tasks or not.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-06-03 Sullam Jeoung , Jana Diesner

Estimating treatment effects from observational data requires choosing an adjustment set, but valid adjustment depends on an unknown causal graph. Graph misspecification can cause under-coverage, while graph-agnostic conformal wrappers may…

Counterfactual inference aims to answer retrospective "what if" questions and thus belongs to the most fine-grained type of inference in Pearl's causality ladder. Existing methods for counterfactual inference with continuous outcomes aim at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-12 Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

Causal decomposition analyses can help build the evidence base for interventions that address health disparities (inequities). They ask how disparities in outcomes may change under hypothetical intervention. Through study design and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-17 John W. Jackson

A causal decomposition analysis allows researchers to determine whether the difference in a health outcome between two groups can be attributed to a difference in each group's distribution of one or more modifiable mediator variables. With…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-09 Melissa J. Smith , Leslie A. McClure , D. Leann Long

In the estimation of causal effects, one common method for removing the influence of confounders is to adjust the variables that satisfy the back-door criterion. However, it is not always possible to uniquely determine sets of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Atsushi Noda , Takashi Isozaki

This paper discusses the problem of causal query in observational data with hidden variables, with the aim of seeking the change of an outcome when "manipulating" a variable while given a set of plausible confounding variables which affect…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Le

Image classifiers often rely overly on peripheral attributes that have a strong correlation with the target class (i.e., dataset bias) when making predictions. Due to the dataset bias, the model correctly classifies data samples including…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Jungsoo Lee , Juyoung Lee , Sanghun Jung , Jaegul Choo

Counterfactuals, or modified inputs that lead to a different outcome, are an important tool for understanding the logic used by machine learning classifiers and how to change an undesirable classification. Even if a counterfactual changes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Jesse Friedbaum , Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

In fact-checking applications, a common reason to reject a claim is to detect the presence of erroneous cause-effect relationships between the events at play. However, current automated fact-checking methods lack dedicated causal-based…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Youssra Rebboud , Pasquale Lisena , Raphael Troncy

Causal additive models provide a tractable yet expressive framework for causal discovery in the presence of hidden variables. When unobserved backdoor or causal paths exist between two variables, their causal relationship is often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Thong Pham , Takashi Nicholas Maeda , Shohei Shimizu

Machine learning models achieve state-of-the-art performance on many supervised learning tasks. However, prior evidence suggests that these models may learn to rely on shortcut biases or spurious correlations (intuitively, correlations that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-31 Sindhu C. M. Gowda , Shalmali Joshi , Haoran Zhang , Marzyeh Ghassemi

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

Medical Visual Question Answering (MedVQA) aims to generate clinically reliable answers conditioned on complex medical images and questions. However, existing methods often overfit to superficial cross-modal correlations, neglecting the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Zibo Xu , Qiang Li , Ke Lu , Jin Wang , Weizhi Nie , Yuting Su

Domain shift in histopathology, often caused by differences in acquisition processes or data sources, poses a major challenge to the generalization ability of deep learning models. Existing methods primarily rely on modeling statistical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Kieu-Anh Truong Thi , Huy-Hieu Pham , Duc-Trong Le

Proximal causal inference was recently proposed as a framework to identify causal effects from observational data in the presence of hidden confounders for which proxies are available. In this paper, we extend the proximal causal inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 AmirEmad Ghassami , Alan Yang , Ilya Shpitser , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen