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相关论文: A Scalable and Transferable Time Series Prediction…

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An important task for any large-scale organization is to prepare forecasts of key performance metrics. Often these organizations are structured in a hierarchical manner and for operational reasons, projections of these metrics may have been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Julie Novak , Scott McGarvie , Beatriz Etchegaray Garcia

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

This research article suggests that there are significant benefits in exposing demand planners to forecasting methods using matrix completion techniques. This study aims to contribute to a better understanding of the field of forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-10 Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Ivan Nazarov , Evgeny Burnaev

Time-series forecasting is an essential task with wide real-world applications across domains. While recent advances in deep learning have enabled time-series forecasting models with accurate predictions, there remains considerable debate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Zhiyuan Zhao , Juntong Ni , Shangqing Xu , Haoxin Liu , Wei Jin , B. Aditya Prakash

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

We propose a three-stage framework for forecasting high-dimensional time-series data. Our method first estimates parameters for each univariate time series. Next, we use these parameters to cluster the time series. These clusters can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Nikhil Rao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael I. Jordan , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Practitioners deploying time series forecasting models face a dilemma: exhaustively validating dozens of models is computationally prohibitive, yet choosing the wrong model risks poor performance. We show that spectral…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Oliver Wang , Pengrui Quan , Kang Yang , Mani Srivastava

Time series forecasting has applications across domains and industries, especially in healthcare, but the technical expertise required to analyze data, build models, and interpret results can be a barrier to using these techniques. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Aaron D. Mullen , Daniel R. Harris , Svetla Slavova , V. K. Cody Bumgardner

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Forecasting is critical in areas such as finance, biology, and healthcare. Despite the progress in the field, making accurate forecasts remains challenging because real-world time series contain both global trends, local fine-grained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Zihao Chen , Alexandre Andre , Wenrui Ma , Ian Knight , Sergey Shuvaev , Eva Dyer

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

In economics and many other forecasting domains, the real world problems are too complex for a single model that assumes a specific data generation process. The forecasting performance of different methods changes depending on the nature of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Li Li , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia

Time-series forecasts play a critical role in business planning. However, forecasters typically optimize objectives that are agnostic to downstream business goals and thus can produce forecasts misaligned with business preferences. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-28 Helen Zhou , Sercan O. Arik , Jingtao Wang

Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Prefetching web pages is a well-studied solution to reduce network latency by predicting users' future actions based on their past behaviors. However, such techniques are largely unexplored on mobile platforms. Today's privacy regulations…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-03-25 Yixue Zhao , Siwei Yin , Adriana Sejfia , Marcelo Schmitt Laser , Haoyu Wang , Nenad Medvidovic