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Real-world time-series datasets are often multivariate with complex dynamics. To capture this complexity, high capacity architectures like recurrent- or attention-based sequential deep learning models have become popular. However, recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Si-An Chen , Chun-Liang Li , Nate Yoder , Sercan O. Arik , Tomas Pfister

Transformer-based models for anomaly detection in multivariate time series can benefit from the self-attention mechanism due to its advantage in modeling long-term dependencies. However, Transformer-based anomaly detection models have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Jie Liu , Qilin Li , Senjian An , Bradley Ezard , Ling Li

Generative models have gained significant attention in multivariate time series forecasting (MTS), particularly due to their ability to generate high-fidelity samples. Forecasting the probability distribution of multivariate time series is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Shibo Feng , Peilin Zhao , Liu Liu , Pengcheng Wu , Zhiqi Shen

Predicting time-series is of great importance in various scientific and engineering fields. However, in the context of limited and noisy data, accurately predicting dynamics of all variables in a high-dimensional system is a challenging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Zijian Wang , Peng Tao , Luonan Chen

Transformer-based methods have shown great potential in long-term time series forecasting. However, most of these methods adopt the standard point-wise self-attention mechanism, which not only becomes intractable for long-term forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Dazhao Du , Bing Su , Zhewei Wei

Transformer-based methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance in time series forecasting (TSF) by capturing positional and semantic topological relationships among input tokens. However, it remains unclear whether existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Jianqi Zhang , Wenwen Qiang , Jingyao Wang , Jiahuan Zhou , Changwen Zheng , Hui Xiong

Spatio-temporal (ST) forecasting is critical for dynamic systems, yet existing methods predominantly rely on modeling a limited set of observed target variables. In this paper, we present the first systematic exploration of exogenous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Wei Chen , Yuqian Wu , Yuanshao Zhu , Xixuan Hao , Shiyu Wang , Xiaofang Zhou , Yuxuan Liang

Data-driven models have demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in inferring the temporal ordering of events in text. However, these models often overlook explicit temporal signals, such as dates and time windows. Rule-based methods can…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-06-21 Tanya Goyal , Greg Durrett

Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

Diffusion Transformers (DiTs) have demonstrated remarkable performance in visual generation tasks. However, their low inference speed limits their deployment in low-resource applications. Recent training-free approaches exploit the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Xiaoliu Guan , Lielin Jiang , Hanqi Chen , Xu Zhang , Jiaxing Yan , Guanzhong Wang , Yi Liu , Zetao Zhang , Yu Wu

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Generating time series data is a promising approach to address data deficiency problems. However, it is also challenging due to the complex temporal properties of time series data, including local correlations as well as global…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Ang Li , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

The current landscape in time-series forecasting is dominated by Transformer-based models. Their high parameter count and corresponding demand in computational resources pose a challenge to real-world deployment, especially for commercial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Nicholas Kiefer , Arvid Weyrauch , Muhammed Öz , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial in many application domains such as retail, ecommerce, finance, or biology. With the increasing availability of large volumes of data, a number of neural architectures have been proposed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-15 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in various domains. Caused by factors such as trends, seasonality, or irregular fluctuations, time series often exhibits non-stationary. It obstructs stable feature propagation through deep layers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Lexin Fang , Tianlong Zhao , Caiming Zhang

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

Transformers have recently gained prominence in long time series forecasting by elevating accuracies in a variety of use cases. Regrettably, in the race for better predictive performance the overhead of model architectures has grown…

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…