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Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful framework for solving PDEs, yet existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches for PINNs generally lack rigorous statistical guarantees. In this work, we bridge this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Yifan Yu , Cheuk Hin Ho , Yangshuai Wang

Operator learning enables fast surrogate modeling of high-dimensional dynamical systems, but existing approaches face two fundamental limitations: quadratic inference complexity and unreliable uncertainty quantification in safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Purav Matlia , Christian Moya , Guang Lin

This paper proposes a new data-driven method for the reliable prediction of power system post-fault trajectories. The proposed method is based on the fundamentally new concept of Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets). Compared to traditional…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-02-16 Christian Moya , Shiqi Zhang , Meng Yue , Guang Lin

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

This paper explores uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods in the context of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs). We apply an ensemble approach to KANs to obtain a heuristic measure of UQ, enhancing interpretability and robustness in…

With the increased prevalence of neural operators being used to provide rapid solutions to partial differential equations (PDEs), understanding the accuracy of model predictions and the associated error levels is necessary for deploying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Nick Winovich , Mitchell Daneker , Lu Lu , Guang Lin

We present a simple and effective approach for posterior uncertainty quantification in deep operator networks (DeepONets); an emerging paradigm for supervised learning in function spaces. We adopt a frequentist approach based on randomized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-17 Yibo Yang , Georgios Kissas , Paris Perdikaris

Energy-efficient deep learning algorithms are essential for a sustainable future and feasible edge computing setups. Spiking neural networks (SNNs), inspired from neuroscience, are a positive step in the direction of achieving the required…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-13 Shailesh Garg , Souvik Chakraborty

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

Robust uncertainty quantification (UQ) remains a critical barrier to the safe deployment of deep learning in real-time virtual sensing, particularly in high-stakes domains where sparse, noisy, or non-collocated sensor data are the norm. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Kazuma Kobayashi , Shailesh Garg , Farid Ahmed , Souvik Chakraborty , Syed Bahauddin Alam

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model failures. Conformal prediction is a user-friendly paradigm for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in graph neural networks (GNNs) is crucial in high-stakes domains but remains a significant challenge. In graph settings, message passing often relies on strong assumptions such as exchangeability, which are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Soyoung park , Hwanjun Song , Sungsu Lim

OOD detection has become more pertinent with advances in network design and increased task complexity. Identifying which parts of the data a given network is misclassifying has become as valuable as the network's overall performance. We can…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Rishi Singhal , Srinath Srinivasan

Conformal prediction (CP), a distribution-free uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework, reliably provides valid predictive inference for black-box models. CP constructs prediction sets that contain the true output with a specified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Xiaofan Zhou , Baiting Chen , Yu Gui , Lu Cheng

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning regression is of wide interest, as it supports critical applications including sequential decision making and risk-sensitive tasks. In heteroskedastic regression, where the uncertainty of the…

Conformalized Quantile Regression (CQR) is a recently proposed method for constructing prediction intervals for a response $Y$ given covariates $X$, without making distributional assumptions. However, existing constructions of CQR can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-16 Raphael Rossellini , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

Learning operators from data is central to scientific machine learning. While DeepONets are widely used for their ability to handle complex domains, they require fixed sensor numbers and locations, lack mechanisms for uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Lei Ma , Ling Guo , Hao Wu , Tao Zhou

Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for reinforcement learning (RL) in high-stakes settings. We propose a unified conformal prediction framework for infinite-horizon policy evaluation that constructs distribution-free prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-31 Feichen Gan , Youcun Lu , Yingying Zhang , Yukun Liu
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