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Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is a challenging task in many real-world non-stationary dynamic scenarios. In addition to intra-series temporal signals, the inter-series dependency also plays a crucial role in shaping future…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Weijun Chen , Heyuan Wang , Ye Tian , Shijie Guan , Ning Liu

We propose a transformer architecture for time series forecasting with a focus on time series tokenisation and apply it to a real-world prediction problem from the pricing domain. Our architecture aims to learn effective representations at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Egon Peršak , Miguel F. Anjos , Sebastian Lautz , Aleksandar Kolev

Large collections of time series data are often organized into hierarchies with different levels of aggregation; examples include product and geographical groupings. Probabilistic coherent forecasting is tasked to produce forecasts…

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

We describe a new deep learning approach to cardinality estimation. MSCN is a multi-set convolutional network, tailored to representing relational query plans, that employs set semantics to capture query features and true cardinalities.…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2018-12-19 Andreas Kipf , Thomas Kipf , Bernhard Radke , Viktor Leis , Peter Boncz , Alfons Kemper

A new variational mode decomposition (VMD) based deep learning approach is proposed in this paper for time series forecasting problem. Firstly, VMD is adopted to decompose the original time series into several sub-signals. Then, a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Guowei Zhang , Tao Ren , Yifan Yang

We introduce an interpretable deep learning model for multivariate time series forecasting that prioritizes both predictive performance and interpretability - key requirements for understanding complex physical phenomena. Our model not only…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Davor Horvatic , Domjan Baric

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is foundational to pervasive computing and financial analysis, yet existing multi-scale paradigms are often constrained by suboptimal representation fidelity. We identify two critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Fan Zhang , Yating Cui , Hua Wang

Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

Time series forecasting plays a key role in a variety of domains. In a lot of real-world scenarios, there exist multiple forecasting entities (e.g. power station in the solar system, stations in the traffic system). A straightforward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Lin Huang , Lijun Wu , Jia Zhang , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

Spatial time series forecasting problems arise in a broad range of applications, such as environmental and transportation problems. These problems are challenging because of the existence of specific spatial, short-term and long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-05 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…

Traffic forecasting is a problem of intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and crucial for individuals and public agencies. Therefore, researches pay great attention to deal with the complex spatio-temporal dependencies of traffic system…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Yanjun Qin , Yuchen Fang , Haiyong Luo , Fang Zhao , Chenxing Wang

The information contained in a time series is more than what the values themselves are. In this paper, the Time-variant Local Autocorrelated Polynomial model with Kalman filter is proposed to model the underlying dynamics of a time series…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Shixiong Wang , Chongshou Li , Andrew Lim

Deep learning based forecasting methods have become the methods of choice in many applications of time series prediction or forecasting often outperforming other approaches. Consequently, over the last years, these methods are now…

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

Missing values are pervasive in large-scale time-series data, posing challenges for reliable analysis and decision-making. Many neural architectures have been designed to model and impute the complex and heterogeneous missingness patterns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Joseph Arul Raj , Linglong Qian , Zina Ibrahim