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This paper investigates the impact of observations on atmospheric state estimation in weather forecasting systems using graph neural networks (GNNs) and explainability methods. We integrate observation and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-27 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

Due to insufficient local area information, numerical weather prediction (NWP) may yield biases for specific areas. Previous studies correct biases mainly by employing handcrafted features or applying data-driven methods intuitively,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Binqing Wu , Weiqi Chen , Wengwei Wang , Bingqing Peng , Liang Sun , Ling Chen

Climate change has been a common interest and the forefront of crucial political discussion and decision-making for many years. Shallow clouds play a significant role in understanding the Earth's climate, but they are challenging to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-13 Tashin Ahmed , Noor Hossain Nuri Sabab

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

To explore the issue of performing a non-interactive numerical weather forecast with an operational global model in assist of astronomical observing, we use the Xu-Randall cloud scheme and the Trinquet-Vernin AXP seeing model with the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2012-10-25 Q. -z Ye

Traditional methods for demand forecasting only focus on modeling the temporal dependency. However, forecasting on spatio-temporal data requires modeling of complex nonlinear relational and spatial dependencies. In addition, dynamic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Hongjie Chen , Ryan A. Rossi , Kanak Mahadik , Hoda Eldardiry

Weather Forecasting is an attractive challengeable task due to its influence on human life and complexity in atmospheric motion. Supported by massive historical observed time series data, the task is suitable for data-driven approaches,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Minbo Ma , Peng Xie , Fei Teng , Tianrui Li , Bin Wang , Shenggong Ji , Junbo Zhang

In numerical weather prediction (NWP), a large number of observations are used to create initial conditions for weather forecasting through a process known as data assimilation. An assessment of the value of these observations for NWP can…

Accurate precipitation estimates at individual locations are crucial for weather forecasting and spatial analysis. This study presents a paradigm shift by leveraging Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to surpass traditional methods like Kriging…

The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

Accurate and timely prediction of heavy rainfall events is crucial for effective flood risk management and disaster preparedness. By monitoring, analysing, and evaluating rainfall data at a local level, it is not only possible to take…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Edwin Salcedo

This paper proposes a novel framework for enhancing the prediction accuracy and lead time of El Ni\~no events, crucial for mitigating their global climatic, economic, and societal impacts. Traditional prediction models often rely on oceanic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Viet Trinh , Ha-Vy Luu , Quoc-Khiem Nguyen-Pham , Hung Tong , Thanh-Huyen Tran , Hoai-Nam Nguyen Dang

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Clouds classification is a great challenge in meteorological research. The different types of clouds, currently known and present in our skies, can produce radioactive effects that impact on the variation of atmospheric conditions, with the…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-09 Mario Manzo , Simone Pellino

Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu

The field of meteorological forecasting has undergone a significant transformation with the integration of large models, especially those employing deep learning techniques. This paper reviews the advancements and applications of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-11 Hailong Shu , Yue Wang , Weiwei Song , Huichuang Guo , Zhen Song

This paper presents a practical computational approach to quantify the effect of individual observations in estimating the state of a system. Such an analysis can be used for pruning redundant measurements, and for designing future sensor…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2013-07-22 Alexandru Cioaca , Adrian Sandu , Eric de Sturler
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