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We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

We propose a new architecture for the learning of predictive spatio-temporal motion models from data alone. Our approach, dubbed the Dropout Autoencoder LSTM, is capable of synthesizing natural looking motion sequences over long time…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-12-05 Partha Ghosh , Jie Song , Emre Aksan , Otmar Hilliges

Multivariate time series anomaly detection (MTSAD) aims to accurately identify and localize complex abnormal patterns in the large-scale industrial control systems. While existing approaches excel in recognizing the distinct patterns under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Xuechun Liu , Heli Sun , Xuecheng Wu , Ruichen Cao , Yunyun Shi , Dingkang Yang , Haoran Li

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

Over the past few decades, the hydrology community has witnessed notable advancements in streamflow prediction, particularly with the introduction of cutting-edge machine-learning algorithms. Recurrent neural networks, especially Long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Sinan Rasiya Koya , Tirthankar Roy

This chapter offers a principled approach to the prediction of chaotic systems from data. First, we introduce some concepts from dynamical systems' theory and chaos theory. Second, we introduce machine learning approaches for…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Luca Magri , Andrea Nóvoa , Elise Özalp

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have shown promising zero-shot generalization across diverse forecasting tasks. However, their robustness to continual adaptation remains underexplored. In this work, we investigate the extent to which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Nouha Karaouli , Denis Coquenet , Elisa Fromont , Martial Mermillod , Marina Reyboz

The non-stationary nature of real-world Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data presents forecasting models with a formidable challenge of the time-variant distribution of time series, referred to as distribution shift. Existing studies on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Xiaojun Xue , Shoujin Wang , Liang Hu , Longbing Cao

In this paper, we propose a human trajectory prediction model that combines a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with an attention mechanism. To do that, we use attention scores to determine which parts of the input data the model should…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-04 Amin Manafi Soltan Ahmadi , Samaneh Hoseini Semnani

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) represents a critical frontier in time series analysis, characterized by extensive input sequences, as opposed to the shorter spans typical of traditional approaches. While longer sequences…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Jinliang Deng , Feiyang Ye , Du Yin , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang , Hui Xiong

Streamflow forecasting is key to effectively managing water resources and preparing for the occurrence of natural calamities being exacerbated by climate change. Here we use the concept of fast and slow flow components to create a new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-14 Miguel Paredes Quiñones , Maciel Zortea , Leonardo S. A. Martins

In this study, we propose a multi branched network approach to predict the dynamics of a physics attractor characterized by intricate and chaotic behavior. We introduce a unique neural network architecture comprised of Radial Basis Function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-31 Aarush Sinha

Time series forecasting is an important problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. In this paper, we propose to tackle such forecasting problem with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-06 Shiyang Li , Xiaoyong Jin , Yao Xuan , Xiyou Zhou , Wenhu Chen , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

Spatiotemporal data is very common in many applications, such as manufacturing systems and transportation systems. It is typically difficult to be accurately predicted given intrinsic complex spatial and temporal correlations. Most of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-24 Ziyue Li , Hao Yan , Chen Zhang , Fugee Tsung

While deep learning has achieved impressive performance in time series forecasting, it becomes increasingly crucial to understand its decision-making process for building trust in high-stakes scenarios. Existing interpretable models often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Ziheng Peng , Shijie Ren , Xinyue Gu , Linxiao Yang , Xiting Wang , Liang Sun

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Accurate prediction of others' trajectories is essential for autonomous driving. Trajectory prediction is challenging because it requires reasoning about agents' past movements, social interactions among varying numbers and kinds of agents,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-07-30 Tianyang Zhao , Yifei Xu , Mathew Monfort , Wongun Choi , Chris Baker , Yibiao Zhao , Yizhou Wang , Ying Nian Wu

Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-03 Changwei Hu , Yifan Hu , Sungyong Seo

Transformers have become the leading choice in natural language processing over other deep learning architectures. This trend has also permeated the field of time series analysis, especially for long-horizon forecasting, showcasing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Ignacio Aguilera-Martos , Andrés Herrera-Poyatos , Julián Luengo , Francisco Herrera

The Extended Long Short-Term Memory (xLSTM) network has demonstrated strong capability in modeling complex long-term dependencies in time series data. Despite its success, the deterministic architecture of xLSTM limits its representational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Zihao Wang , Yunjie Li , Lingmin Zan , Zheng Gong , Mengtao Zhu