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The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

Modeling spatiotemporal dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge in machine learning. Transformer models have been very successful in NLP and computer vision where they provide interpretable representations of data. However, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Antonio H. de O. Fonseca , Emanuele Zappala , Josue Ortega Caro , David van Dijk

Dynamic link prediction plays a crucial role in diverse applications including social network analysis, communication forecasting, and financial modeling. While recent Transformer-based approaches have demonstrated promising results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Hantong Feng , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , Wenwu Yu

Temporal causal discovery is a crucial task aimed at uncovering the causal relations within time series data. The latest temporal causal discovery methods usually train deep learning models on prediction tasks to uncover the causality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Lingbai Kong , Wengen Li , Hanchen Yang , Yichao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

In the burgeoning ecosystem of Internet of Things, multivariate time series (MTS) data has become ubiquitous, highlighting the fundamental role of time series forecasting across numerous applications. The crucial challenge of long-term MTS…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Zhenwei Zhang , Linghang Meng , Yuantao Gu

Transformers have achieved state-of-the-art performance in numerous tasks. In this paper, we propose a continuous-time formulation of transformers. Specifically, we consider a dynamical system whose governing equation is parametrized by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Kelvin Kan , Xingjian Li , Stanley Osher

Continuous-time series is essential for different modern application areas, e.g. healthcare, automobile, energy, finance, Internet of things (IoT) and other related areas. Different application needs to process as well as analyse a massive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Mansura Habiba , Barak A. Pearlmutter , Mehrdad Maleki

Irregularly-sampled time series occur in many domains including healthcare. They can be challenging to model because they do not naturally yield a fixed-dimensional representation as required by many standard machine learning models. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Steven Cheng-Xian Li , Benjamin M. Marlin

Among the existing Transformer-based multivariate time series forecasting methods, iTransformer, which treats each variable sequence as a token and only explicitly extracts cross-variable dependencies, and PatchTST, which adopts a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Liyang Qin , Xiaoli Wang , Chunhua Yang , Huaiwen Zou , Haochuan Zhang

In recent years, Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) have achieved remarkable progress, with Spiking Transformers emerging as a promising architecture for energy-efficient sequence modeling. However, existing Spiking Transformers still lack a…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Sicheng Shen , Mingyang Lv , Bing Han , Dongcheng Zhao , Guobin Shen , Feifei Zhao , Yi Zeng

Transformers for time series forecasting mainly model time series from limited or fixed scales, making it challenging to capture different characteristics spanning various scales. We propose Pathformer, a multi-scale Transformer with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Peng Chen , Yingying Zhang , Yunyao Cheng , Yang Shu , Yihang Wang , Qingsong Wen , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Due to the proficiency of self-attention mechanisms (SAMs) in capturing dependencies in sequence modeling, several existing dynamic graph neural networks (DGNNs) utilize Transformer architectures with various encoding designs to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Jie Peng , Zhewei Wei , Yuhang Ye

Irregularly sampled time series forecasting, characterized by non-uniform intervals, is prevalent in practical applications. However, previous research have been focused on regular time series forecasting, typically relying on transformer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Byunghyun Kim , Jae-Gil Lee

We present a conformal prediction method for time series using the Transformer architecture to capture long-memory and long-range dependencies. Specifically, we use the Transformer decoder as a conditional quantile estimator to predict the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Real-world time series data are inherently multivariate, often exhibiting complex inter-channel dependencies. Each channel is typically sampled at its own period and is prone to missing values due to various practical and operational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Jinkwan Jang , Hyungjin Park , Jinmyeong Choi , Taesup Kim

The massive generation of time-series data by largescale Internet of Things (IoT) devices necessitates the exploration of more effective models for multivariate time-series forecasting. In previous models, there was a predominant use of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Wenyong Han , Tao Zhu Member , Liming Chen , Huansheng Ning , Yang Luo , Yaping Wan

Time series modeling and analysis have become critical in various domains. Conventional methods such as RNNs and Transformers, while effective for discrete-time and regularly sampled data, face significant challenges in capturing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 YongKyung Oh , Seungsu Kam , Jonghun Lee , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim , Alex Bui

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

Clinical time series are often irregularly sampled, with varying sensor frequencies, missing observations, and misaligned timestamps. Prior approaches typically address these irregularities by interpolating data into regular sequences,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-18 Arash Hajisafi , Maria Despoina Siampou , Bita Azarijoo , Zhen Xiong , Cyrus Shahabi

Time series analysis is a vital task with broad applications in various domains. However, effectively capturing cross-dimension and cross-time dependencies in non-stationary time series poses significant challenges, particularly in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Kexuan Zhang , Xiaobei Zou , Yang Tang