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Hidden Markov Models (HMM) model a sequence of observations that are dependent on a hidden (or latent) state that follow a Markov chain. These models are widely used in diverse fields including ecology, speech recognition, and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-05 Sidonie Foulon , Thérèse Truong , Anne-Louise Leutenegger , Hervé Perdry

This paper proposes a simple and efficient estimation procedure for the model with non-ignorable missing data studied by Morikawa and Kim (2016). Their semiparametrically efficient estimator requires explicit nonparametric estimation and so…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-15 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Zheng Zhang

Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu

Weather forecasting supports critical socioeconomic activities and complements environmental protection, yet operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems remain computationally intensive, thus being inefficient for certain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Nikolas Stavrou , Siamak Mehrkanoon

A specialized algorithm for quadratic optimization (QO, or, formerly, QP) with disjoint linear constraints is presented. In the considered class of problems, a subset of variables are subject to linear equality constraints, while variables…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-12 Tijana Janjic , Yvonne Ruckstuhl , Philippe L. Toint

Regional rainfall forecasting is an important issue in hydrology and meteorology. This paper aims to design an integrated tool by applying various machine learning algorithms, especially the state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Ning Yu , Timothy Haskins

Quantum machine learning (QML) is making rapid progress, and QML-based models hold the promise of quantum advantages such as potentially higher expressivity and generalizability than their classical counterparts. Here, we present work on…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-01-30 Mierk Schwabe , Lorenzo Pastori , Valentina Sarandrea , Veronika Eyring

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, which are highly complex to model. The research on the advancement of flood prediction models contributed to risk reduction, policy suggestion, minimization of the loss of human life,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-10 Amir Mosavi , Pinar Ozturk , Kwok-wing Chau

The paper presents improved mathematical models and methods for statistical regularities in the behavior of some important characteristics of precipitation: duration of a wet period, maximum daily and total precipitation volumes within a…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-01 Victor Korolev , Andrey Gorshenin

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to skillfully predict tropical precipitation occurrence and amount, calling for alternative approaches. For instance, it has been shown that fairly simple, purely data-driven logistic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-09 Eva-Maria Walz , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink , Gregor Köhler , Tilmann Gneiting

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

Weather forecasting is dominated by numerical weather prediction that tries to model accurately the physical properties of the atmosphere. A downside of numerical weather prediction is that it is lacking the ability for short-term forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Kevin Trebing , Tomasz Stanczyk , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Mixture modeling is a general technique for making any simple model more expressive through weighted combination. This generality and simplicity in part explains the success of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, in which updates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-29 Sida I. Wang , Arun Tejasvi Chaganty , Percy Liang

Motion forecasting plays a significant role in various domains (e.g., autonomous driving, human-robot interaction), which aims to predict future motion sequences given a set of historical observations. However, the observed elements may be…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-04 Jiachen Li , Fan Yang , Hengbo Ma , Srikanth Malla , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Chiho Choi

Rainfall prediction is one of the challenging and uncertain tasks which has a significant impact on human society. Timely and accurate predictions can help to proactively reduce human and financial loss. This study presents a set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Nikhil Oswal

With broad applications in various public services like aviation management and urban disaster warning, numerical precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in weather forecast. However, constrained by the limitation of observation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-18 Xiaoyang Xu , Yiqun Liu , Hanqing Chao , Youcheng Luo , Hai Chu , Lei Chen , Junping Zhang , Leiming Ma

This paper presents a forecasting model designed using WSNs (Wireless Sensor Networks) to predict flood in rivers using simple and fast calculations to provide real-time results and save the lives of people who may be affected by the flood.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-13 Victor Seal , Arnab Raha , Shovan Maity , Souvik Kr Mitra , Amitava Mukherjee , Mrinal Kanti Naskar