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We present the particle stochastic approximation EM (PSAEM) algorithm for learning of dynamical systems. The method builds on the EM algorithm, an iterative procedure for maximum likelihood inference in latent variable models. By combining…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-11 Andreas Lindholm , Fredrik Lindsten

In this paper, we develop the mathematical framework for filtering problems arising from biophysical applications where data is collected from confocal laser scanning microscopy recordings of the space-time evolution of intracellular wave…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-10 Jan Szalankiewicz , Cristina Martinez-Torres , Wilhelm Stannat

We consider the problem of filtering dynamical systems, possibly stochastic, using observations of statistics. Thus, the computational task is to estimate a time-evolving density $\rho(v, t)$ given noisy observations of the true density…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Eviatar Bach , Tim Colonius , Isabel Scherl , Andrew Stuart

Recent studies have demonstrated improved skill in numerical weather prediction via the use of spatially correlated observation error covariance information in data assimilation systems. In this case, the observation weighting matrices…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-01-05 Guannan Hu , Sarah L. Dance

We develop an optimization algorithm, using simulated annealing for the quantification of patterns in astronomical data based on techniques developed for robotic vision applications. The methodology falls in the category of cost…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-09-09 Maria Chira , Manolis Plionis

For the Research Topic Data Assimilation and Control: Theory and Applications in Life Sciences we first review the formulation of statistical data assimilation (SDA) and discuss algorithms for exploring variational approximations to the…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2018-09-17 Anna Miller , Dawei Li , Jason Platt , Arij Daou , Daniel Margoliash , Henry Abarbanel

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has been proposed to devise data-driven parametrisations of unresolved processes in dynamical numerical models. In most cases, the ML training leverages high-resolution simulations to provide a dense,…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-12-09 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

Stochastic methods offer an effective way to suppress coherent errors in quantum simulation. In particular, the randomized compilation protocol may reduce circuit depth by randomly sampling Hamiltonian terms rather than following the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-15 Yu-Xia Wu , Yun-Zhuo Fan , Dan-Bo Zhang

In this work, we develop tracking and estimation techniques relevant to underwater targets. Particularly, we explore particle filtering techniques for target tracking. It is a numerical approximation method for implementing a recursive…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-11 T M Feroz Ali

We investigate the impact of filter choice on forecast accuracy in state space models. The filters are used both to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters, via a particle marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) algorithm, and to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Patrick Leung , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin , Brendan McCabe

In meteorology, engineering and computer sciences, data assimilation is routinely employed as the optimal way to combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-08-12 M. J. Werner , K. Ide , D. Sornette

De Facto, signal processing is the interpolation and extrapolation of a sequence of observations viewed as a realization of a stochastic process. Its role in applied statistics ranges from scenarios in forecasting and time series analysis,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-12 Nozer D. Singpurwalla , Nicholas G. Polson , Refik Soyer

In this article we develop algorithms for data assimilation based upon a computational time dependent stable/unstable splitting. Our particular method is based upon shadowing refinement and synchronization techniques and is motivated by…

Reconstruction of turbulent flow based on data assimilation methods is of significant importance for improving the estimation of flow characteristics by incorporating limited observations. Existing works mainly focus on using only one…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-03-30 Xin-Lei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Guo-Wei He , Shi-Zhao Wang

A generic algorithm for the extraction of probabilistic (Bayesian) information about model parameters from data is presented. The algorithm propagates an ensemble of particles in the product space of model parameters and outputs. Each…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-09-18 Carlo Albert

This tutorial provides a broad introduction to Bayesian data assimilation that will be useful to practitioners, in interpreting algorithms and results, and for theoretical studies developing novel schemes with an understanding of the rich…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-28 Colin Grudzien , Marc Bocquet

We develop an algorithm based on the nudging data assimilation scheme for the concurrent (on-the-fly) estimation of scalar parameters for a system of evolutionary dissipative partial differential equations in which the state is partially…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-16 Benjamin Pachev , Jared P. Whitehead , Shane A. McQuarrie

This paper presents a joint optimisation framework for optimal estimation and stochastic optimal control with imperfect information. It provides a estimation and control scheme that can be decomposed into a classical optimal estimation step…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-27 Emilien Flayac , Karim Dahia , Bruno Hérissé , Frédéric Jean

Extensive numerical evidence shows that the assimilation of observations has a stabilizing effect on unstable dynamics, in numerical weather prediction and elsewhere. In this paper, we apply mathematically rigorous methods to showing why…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-08 Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall