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相关论文: Measuring the Dunkelflaute: How (not) to analyze v…

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Variable renewable energy droughts, so called Dunkelflaute events, emerge as a challenge for climate-neutral energy systems based on variable renewables. Here we characterize European drought events for on- and offshore wind power, solar…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-12 Martin Kittel , Wolf-Peter Schill

It is expected, and regionally observed, that energy demand will soon be covered by a widespread deployment of renewable energy sources. However, the weather and climate driven energy sources are characterized by a significant spatial and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-20 J. Jurasz , F. A. Canales , A. Kies , M. Guezgouz , A. Beluco

Weather conditions associated with low electricity production from renewable energy sources (RES) can result in challenging 'dunkelflaute' events, where 'dunkel' means dark and 'flaute' refers to low windspeeds. In a power system relying…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-03 Benjamin Biewald , Bastien Cozian , Laurent Dubus , William Zappa , Laurens Stoop

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

Coping with prolonged periods of low availability of wind and solar power, also referred to as variable renewable energy droughts or "Dunkelflaute", emerges as a key challenge for realizing decarbonized energy systems based on renewable…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-12 Martin Kittel , Alexander Roth , Wolf-Peter Schill

The expansion of wind and solar power is driving the European energy system transformation, thereby also driving our reliance on this weather-dependent resources. Integrating renewable scarcity events into long-term planning has therefore…

Future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems will be dominated by renewable energy technologies providing variable supply subject to uncertain weather conditions. For this setting, we propose an algorithm for capacity expansion planning: We…

This paper proposes a systematic framework to assess the complementarity of renewable resources over arbitrary geographical scopes and temporal scales which is particularly well-suited to exploit very large data sets of climatological data.…

Renewable energies are deployed worldwide to mitigate climate change and push power systems towards sustainability. However, the weather-dependent nature of renewable energy sources often hinders their integration to national grids.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-24 Fausto A. Canales , Jakub Jurasz , Alexandre Beluco , Alexander Kies

To achieve ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in time, the planning of future energy systems needs to accommodate societal preferences, e.g. low levels of acceptance for transmission expansion or onshore wind turbines, and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-10-30 Fabian Neumann , Tom Brown

The quantity and distribution of land which is eligible for renewable energy sources is fundamental to the role these technologies will play in future energy systems. As it stands, however, the current state of land eligibility…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2017-12-22 David Severin Ryberg , Martin Robinius , Detlef Stolten

The European electricity power grid is transitioning towards renewable energy sources, characterized by an increasing share of off- and onshore wind and solar power. However, the weather dependency of these energy sources poses a challenge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Felix Strnad , Jonathan Schmidt , Fabian Mockert , Philipp Hennig , Nicole Ludwig

The rapid expansion of renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, has made reliable forecasting critical for power system operations. While recent deep learning models have achieved strong average accuracy, the increasing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Guozhen Zhang , Yong Li

Accurate and reliable forecasting of renewable energy generation is crucial for the efficient integration of renewable sources into the power grid. In particular, probabilistic forecasts are becoming essential for managing the intrinsic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The reliability of the electric grid has in recent years become a larger concern for regulators, planners, and consumers due to several high-impact outage events, as well as the potential for even more impactful events in the future. These…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-03 Gabriel Mantegna , Ziting Huang , Guillaume Van Caelenberg , Bethany Frew , Muireann Lynch , Mark O'Malley

The increasing attention to environmental issues is forcing the implementation of novel energy models based on renewable sources, fundamentally changing the configuration of energy management and introducing new criticalities that are only…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-09 Mario Mureddu , Guido Caldarelli , Alessandro Chessa , Antonio Scala , Alfonso Damiano

Disruptions in energy imports, backlash in social acceptance, and novel technologies failing to develop are unexpected events that are often overlooked in energy planning, despite their ability to jeopardize the energy transition. We…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Diederik Coppitters , Gabriel Wiest , Leonard Göke , Francesco Contino , André Bardow , Stefano Moret

Within the last few years, the trend towards more distributed, renewable energy sources has led to major changes and challenges in the electricity sector. To ensure a stable electricity distribution in this changing environment, we propose…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-12 Jens Hönen , Johann L. Hurink , Bert Zwart

This article evaluates the types of typical renewable energy technologies separately. Switching from fossil-fuel-based technology to green energies is time-consuming and requires a high investment cost. In addition, the production of energy…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-26 Hamid Zakernezhad , Ali Soleimani , Milad Mohabbati

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

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