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Deep learning approaches are increasingly used to tackle forecasting tasks involving datasets with multiple univariate time series. A key factor in the successful application of these methods is a large enough training sample size, which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Moisés Santos , Luis Roque , Yassine Baghoussi , Carlos Soares

Heterogeneity in time series data is more pronounced than in vision or language, as temporal dynamics vary substantially across domains and tasks. Existing efforts on training time series foundation models (TSFMs) from scratch are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Dikai Liu , Jing Jiang

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

In this paper, we introduce Masked Multi-Step Multivariate Forecasting (MMMF), a novel and general self-supervised learning framework for time series forecasting with known future information. In many real-world forecasting scenarios, some…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Yiwei Fu , Honggang Wang , Nurali Virani

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

Time series forecasting is an important yet challenging task. Though deep learning methods have recently been developed to give superior forecasting results, it is crucial to improve the interpretability of time series models. Previous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Qingyi Pan , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

On-demand service platforms face a challenging problem of forecasting a large collection of high-frequency regional demand data streams that exhibit instabilities. This paper develops a novel forecast framework that is fast and scalable,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-03 Yu Jeffrey Hu , Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Time series forecasting has become a critical task due to its high practicality in real-world applications such as traffic, energy consumption, economics and finance, and disease analysis. Recent deep-learning-based approaches have shown…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Youngin Cho , Daejin Kim , Dongmin Kim , Mohammad Azam Khan , Jaegul Choo

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is key functionality in numerous fields, such as financial investment, weather services, and energy management. Although increasingly capable TSF methods occur, many of them require domain-specific data…

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is a crucial task in various domains, yet existing TSF models rely heavily on high-quality data and insufficiently exploit all available data. This paper explores a novel self-supervised approach to re-label…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Yuxuan Yang , Dalin Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Hua Lu , Gang Chen , Huan Li

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to loss of the ability to recognize undefined features. The mentioned is the main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li

Forecasting future outcomes from recent time series data is not easy, especially when the future data are different from the past (i.e. time series are under temporal drifts). Existing approaches show limited performances under data drifts,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Jaehoon Lee , Chan Kim , Gyumin Lee , Haksoo Lim , Jeongwhan Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Sanghyun Hong , Noseong Park

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Accurate forecasting in the e-commerce finance domain is particularly challenging due to irregular invoice schedules, payment deferrals, and user-specific behavioral variability. These factors, combined with sparse datasets and short…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-25 Abhishek Sharma , Anat Parush , Sumit Wadhwa , Amihai Savir , Anne Guinard , Prateek Srivastava

Time series prediction underpins a broad range of downstream tasks across many scientific domains. Recent advances and increasing adoption of black-box machine learning models for time series prediction highlight the critical need for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-23 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Decision Transformers (DT) have demonstrated strong performances in offline reinforcement learning settings, but quickly adapting to unseen novel tasks remains challenging. To address this challenge, we propose a new framework, called…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Mengdi Xu , Yuchen Lu , Yikang Shen , Shun Zhang , Ding Zhao , Chuang Gan