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The conditional particle filter (CPF) is a promising algorithm for general hidden Markov model smoothing. Empirical evidence suggests that the variant of CPF with backward sampling (CBPF) performs well even with long time series. Previous…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-29 Anthony Lee , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

Identifying change points (CPs) in a time series is crucial to guide better decision making across various fields like finance and healthcare and facilitating timely responses to potential risks or opportunities. Existing Change Point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-09 Kopal Garg , Jennifer Yu , Tina Behrouzi , Sana Tonekaboni , Anna Goldenberg

We propose a new generative modeling technique for learning multidimensional cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) in the form of copulas. Specifically, we consider certain classes of copulas known as Archimedean and hierarchical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-30 Yuting Ng , Ali Hasan , Khalil Elkhalil , Vahid Tarokh

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

Context propagation remains a central challenge in language model architectures, particularly in tasks requiring the retention of long-range dependencies. Conventional attention mechanisms, while effective in many applications, exhibit…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Alfred Bexley , Lukas Radcliffe , Giles Weatherstone , Joseph Sakau

Deep learning methods are powerful tools but often suffer from expensive computation and limited flexibility. An alternative is to combine light-weight models with deep representations. As successful cases exist in several visual problems,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-09-25 Bin Yang , Junjie Yan , Zhen Lei , Stan Z. Li

We introduce a new type of graphical model called a "cumulative distribution network" (CDN), which expresses a joint cumulative distribution as a product of local functions. Each local function can be viewed as providing evidence about…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Jim Huang , Brendan J. Frey

Social networks represent complex ecosystems where the interactions between users or groups play a pivotal role in information dissemination, opinion formation, and social interactions. Effectively harnessing event sequence data within…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Zizhuo Meng , Ke Wan , Yadong Huang , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Feng Zhou

Comorbid diseases co-occur and progress via complex temporal patterns that vary among individuals. In electronic health records we can observe the different diseases a patient has, but can only infer the temporal relationship between each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-22 Zhaozhi Qian , Ahmed M. Alaa , Alexis Bellot , Jem Rashbass , Mihaela van der Schaar

Forecasting multiple future events within a given time horizon is essential for applications in finance, retail, social networks, and healthcare. Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPP) provide a principled framework to model both the timing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Ivan Karpukhin , Foma Shipilov , Andrey Savchenko

Traffic problems have seriously affected people's life quality and urban development, and forecasting the short-term traffic congestion is of great importance to both individuals and governments. However, understanding and modeling the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-17 Meng Chen , Xiaohui Yu , Yang Liu

In this study, we introduce Convolutional Transformer Neural Collaborative Filtering (CTNCF), a novel approach aimed at enhancing recommendation systems by effectively capturing high-order structural information in user-item interactions.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Pang Li , Shahrul Azman Mohd Noah , Hafiz Mohd Sarim

This paper proposes a neuro-adaptive distributive cooperative tracking control with prescribed performance function (PPF) for highly nonlinear multi-agent systems. PPF allows error tracking from a predefined large set to be trapped into a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-20 Sami El-Ferik , Hashim. A. Hashim , Frank L. Lewis

Trajectory prediction models that can infer both finite future trajectories and their associated uncertainties of the target vehicles in an online setting (e.g., real-world application scenarios) is crucial for ensuring the safe and robust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Sihong He , Fei Miao

Neural Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPP) are flexible models to capture complex temporal inter-dependencies between labeled events. These models inherently learn two predictive distributions: one for the arrival times of events and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-12 Tanguy Bosser , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

We present a novel framework for modeling traffic congestion events over road networks. Using multi-modal data by combining count data from traffic sensors with police reports that report traffic incidents, we aim to capture two types of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Shixiang Zhu , Ruyi Ding , Minghe Zhang , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Yao Xie

This study focuses on long-term forecasting (LTF) on continuous-time dynamic graph networks (CTDGNs), which is important for real-world modeling. Existing CTDGNs are effective for modeling temporal graph data due to their ability to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Yuxing Tian , Mingjie Zhu , Jiachi Luo , Song Li

Crowd counting presents enormous challenges in the form of large variation in scales within images and across the dataset. These issues are further exacerbated in highly congested scenes. Approaches based on straightforward fusion of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-08-30 Vishwanath A Sindagi , Vishal M. Patel

Estimates of finite population cumulativedistribution functions (CDFs) and quantiles are critical forpolicy-making, resource allocation, and public health planning. For instance, federal finance agencies may require accurate estimates of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-31 Jeremy Flood , Sayed Mostafa