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An exponential growth in computing power, which has brought more sophisticated and higher resolution simulations of the climate system, and an exponential increase in observations since the first weather satellite was put in orbit, are…

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

In recent years, AI-based weather forecasting models have matched or even outperformed numerical weather prediction systems. However, most of these models have been trained and evaluated on reanalysis datasets like ERA5. These datasets,…

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

Climate change results in an increased probability of extreme weather events that put societies and businesses at risk on a global scale. Therefore, near real-time mapping of natural hazards is an emerging priority for the support of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Johannes Jakubik , Michal Muszynski , Michael Vössing , Niklas Kühl , Thomas Brunschwiler

Machine learning-based weather forecasting models have quickly emerged as a promising methodology for accurate medium-range global weather forecasting. Here, we introduce the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS), a data driven…

Climate events arise from intricate, multivariate dynamics governed by global-scale drivers, profoundly impacting food, energy, and infrastructure. Yet, accurate weather prediction remains elusive due to physical processes unfolding across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Thomas Bailie , S. Karthik Mukkavilli , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh

This paper introduces a modular processing chain to derive global high-resolution maps of leaf traits. In particular, we present global maps at 500 m resolution of specific leaf area, leaf dry matter content, leaf nitrogen and phosphorus…

We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) model that recursively predicts key atmospheric variables with six-hour time resolution. This model uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-12-10 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana , Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay

Ensemble forecasting is crucial for improving weather predictions, especially for forecasts of extreme events. Constructing an ensemble prediction system (EPS) based on conventional NWP models is highly computationally expensive. ML models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Hao Li , Jun Liu , Xu Fan , Jie Feng , Kan Dai , Jing-Jia Luo , Jie Wu , Bo Lu

One of the greatest sources of uncertainty in future climate projections comes from limitations in modelling clouds and in understanding how different cloud types interact with the climate system. A key first step in reducing this…

With a potentially increasing share of the electricity grid relying on wind to provide generating capacity and energy, there is an expanding global need for historically accurate, spatiotemporally continuous, high-resolution wind data.…

Atmospheric correction is a fundamental task in remote sensing because observations are taken either of the atmosphere or looking through the atmosphere. Atmospheric correction errors can significantly alter the spectral signature of the…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-23 Fangcao Xu , Jian Sun , Guido Cervone , Mark Salvador

The rapid expansion of renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, has made reliable forecasting critical for power system operations. While recent deep learning models have achieved strong average accuracy, the increasing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Guozhen Zhang , Yong Li

Accurate prediction of tropical cyclones remains a major challenge for both numerical weather prediction and emerging artificial intelligence weather prediction systems. While recent global AI models have demonstrated strong skill in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-17 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Sirong Huang , Zhuo Wang , Mu Mu , Mengqi Yang , Xinhai Han , Haofei Sun , Zhaoyang Huo , Bo Qin

Extreme precipitation events, such as violent rainfall and hail storms, routinely ravage economies and livelihoods around the developing world. Climate change further aggravates this issue. Data-driven deep learning approaches could widen…

While classical time series forecasting considers individual time series in isolation, recent advances based on deep learning showed that jointly learning from a large pool of related time series can boost the forecasting accuracy. However,…

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

We review how machine learning has transformed our ability to model the Earth system, and how we expect recent breakthroughs to benefit end-users in Switzerland in the near future. Drawing from our review, we identify three recommendations.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-29 Tom Beucler , Erwan Koch , Sven Kotlarski , David Leutwyler , Adrien Michel , Jonathan Koh
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