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相关论文: Rethinking Channel Dependence for Multivariate Tim…

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Multi-variate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for various applications. Existing methods have shown promising results owing to their strong ability to capture intra- and inter-variate dependencies. However, these methods often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-05 Binqing Wu , Zongjiang Shang , Jianlong Huang , Ling Chen

Social and collaborative platforms emit multivariate time-series traces in which early interactions-such as views, likes, or downloads-are followed, sometimes months or years later, by higher impact like citations, sales, or reviews. We…

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Recent studies have attempted to refine the Transformer architecture to demonstrate its effectiveness in Long-Term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) tasks. Despite surpassing many linear forecasting models with ever-improving performance, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Peiwang Tang , Weitai Zhang

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Learning a good distance measure for distance-based classification in time series leads to significant performance improvement in many tasks. Specifically, it is critical to effectively deal with variations and temporal dependencies in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-24 Dongmin Park , Susik Yoon , Hwanjun Song , Jae-Gil Lee

In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lag relationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two time series shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-20 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Multivariate time series forecasting often struggles to capture long-range dependencies due to fixed lookback windows. Retrieval-augmented forecasting addresses this by retrieving historical segments from memory, but existing approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Junhyeok Kang , Jun Seo , Soyeon Park , Sangjun Han , Seohui Bae , Hyeokjun Choe , Soonyoung Lee

In Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), the lookback window is a critical hyperparameter often set arbitrarily, undermining the validity of model evaluations. We argue that the lookback window must be tuned on a per-task basis to…

Dynamic link prediction is an important problem considered in many recent works that propose approaches for learning temporal edge patterns. To assess their efficacy, models are evaluated on continuous-time and discrete-time temporal graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Moritz Lampert , Christopher Blöcker , Ingo Scholtes

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

Recent studies on long-term time series forecasting have shown that simple linear models and MLP-based predictors can achieve strong performance without increasingly complex architectures. However, many competitive baselines still rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Zhenan Yu , Guangxin Jiang , Jin Yang

Time series forecasting is a critical task across domains such as energy, finance, and meteorology, where accurate predictions enable informed decision-making. While transformer-based and large-parameter models have recently achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Julien Guité-Vinet , Alexandre Blondin Massé , Éric Beaudry

Recent advancements in multivariate time series forecasting have been propelled by Linear-based, Transformer-based, and Convolution-based models, with Transformer-based architectures gaining prominence for their efficacy in temporal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Chaolv Zeng , Zhanyu Liu , Guanjie Zheng , Linghe Kong

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data is important in many engineering and scientific applications. Recent state-of-the-art works ignore the inter-relations between variates, using their model on each variate independently.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Liran Nochumsohn , Hedi Zisling , Omri Azencot

Recent advancements have underscored the impact of deep learning techniques on multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). Generally, these techniques are bifurcated into two categories: Channel-independence and Channel-mixing approaches.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Shiyi Qi , Liangjian Wen , Yiduo Li , Yuanhang Yang , Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

Downsampling-based methods for time series forecasting have attracted increasing attention due to their superiority in capturing sequence trends. However, this approaches mainly capture dependencies within subsequences but neglect…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Zhangyao Song , Nanqing Jiang , Miaohong He , Xiaoyu Zhao , Tao Guo
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