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Weather extremes pose major societal risks, especially in a changing climate, but due to their rarity, they are difficult to study using limited observations or complex climate models. We introduce AI+RES, a framework coupling fast AI…

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has deeply impacted various fields, including Earth system sciences. Here, AI improved weather forecasting, model emulation, parameter estimation, and the prediction of extreme events. However,…

Despite over three hundred years of effort, no solutions exist for predicting when a general planetary configuration will become unstable. We introduce a deep learning architecture to push forward this problem for compact systems. While…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-10-20 Miles Cranmer , Daniel Tamayo , Hanno Rein , Peter Battaglia , Samuel Hadden , Philip J. Armitage , Shirley Ho , David N. Spergel

Intelligent systems are increasingly integral to our daily lives, yet rare safety-critical events present significant latent threats to their practical deployment. Addressing this challenge hinges on accurately predicting the probability of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Ruoxuan Bai , Jingxuan Yang , Weiduo Gong , Yi Zhang , Qiujing Lu , Shuo Feng

Extreme weather events epitomize high cost: to society through their physical impacts, and to computer servers that simulate them to assess risk and advance physical understanding. It costs hundreds of simulation years to sample a few…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman

The increasing uncertainty in modern power systems, driven by the integration of intermittent energy sources and variable loads, underscores the need for probabilistic transient stability assessment. However, existing assessment methods…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-08 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

Advances in deep learning methods for weather forecasting are creating opportunities to computationally explore the potential for steering or control of extreme weather trajectories for societal risk reduction. We present initial…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-22 Moyan Liu , Qin Huang , Upmanu Lall

Earthquakes are lethal and costly. This study aims at avoiding these catastrophic events by the application of injection policies retrieved through reinforcement learning. With the rapid growth of artificial intelligence, prediction-control…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-04-28 Efthymios Papachristos , Ioannis Stefanou

Frequent occurrences of extreme weather events substantially impact the lives of the less privileged in our societies, particularly in agriculture-inclined economies. The unpredictability of extreme fires, floods, drought, cyclones, and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Derrick Effah , Chunguang Bai , Matthew Quayson

Scientific and technological advances in numerical modelling have improved the quality of climate predictions over recent decades, but predictive skill remains limited in many aspects. Extreme events such as heat and cold waves, droughts,…

Detecting rare events, those defined to give rise to high impact but have a low probability of occurring, is a challenge in a number of domains including meteorological, environmental, financial and economic. The use of machine learning to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Santhosh Narayanan , Carsten Maple , Mark Hooper

In domains such as biomedical, expert insights are crucial for selecting the most informative modalities for artificial intelligence (AI) methodologies. However, using all available modalities poses challenges, particularly in determining…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Payal Kamboj , Ayan Banerjee , Sandeep K. S. Gupta

We uncover a phenomenon largely overlooked by the scientific community utilizing AI: neural networks exhibit high susceptibility to minute perturbations, resulting in significant deviations in their outputs. Through an analysis of five…

The increasing deployment of end use power resources in distribution systems created active distribution systems. Uncontrolled active distribution systems exhibit wide variations of voltage and loading throughout the day as some of these…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-08-01 Matthew Lau , Kayla Thames , Sakis Meliopoulos

To address the challenges of imbalanced multi-class datasets typically used for rare event detection in critical cyber-physical systems, we propose an optimal, efficient, and adaptable mixed integer programming (MIP) ensemble weighting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Georgios Tertytchny , Georgios L. Stavrinides , Maria K. Michael

The usage of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods has become essential in practical applications, given the increasing deployment of Artificial Intelligence (AI) models and the legislative requirements put forward in the latest…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Ilaria Vascotto , Valentina Blasone , Alex Rodriguez , Alessandro Bonaita , Luca Bortolussi

Many state-of-the-art algorithms for solving hard combinatorial problems in artificial intelligence (AI) include elements of stochasticity that lead to high variations in runtime, even for a fixed problem instance. Knowledge about the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Katharina Eggensperger , Marius Lindauer , Frank Hutter

Large language models are increasingly deployed not as single assistants but as committees whose members deliberate and then vote or synthesize a decision. Such systems are often expected to be more robust than individual models. We show…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Hajime Shimao , Warut Khern-am-nuai , Sung Joo Kim

This paper presents a novel method for rare event detection from an image pair with class-imbalanced datasets. A straightforward approach for event detection tasks is to train a detection network from a large-scale dataset in an end-to-end…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-12-05 Ryuhei Hamaguchi , Ken Sakurada , Ryosuke Nakamura

Space weather events may cause damage to several fields, including aviation, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are one of the most significant events, and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-25 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva
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