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Forecasting complex system dynamics, particularly for long-term predictions, is persistently hindered by error accumulation and computational burdens. This study presents RefreshNet, a multiscale framework developed to overcome these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Junaid Farooq , Danish Rafiq , Pantelis R. Vlachas , Mohammad Abid Bazaz

Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

Deep-learning precipitation nowcasting models are often optimized using pointwise losses such as mean squared error or mean absolute error, which can lead to overly smooth forecasts and poor representation of heavy rainfall. This study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Gijs van Nieuwkoop , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

Vision-based locomotion in outdoor environments presents significant challenges for quadruped robots. Accurate environmental prediction and effective handling of depth sensor noise during real-world deployment remain difficult, severely…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Yueqi Zhang , Quancheng Qian , Taixian Hou , Peng Zhai , Xiaoyi Wei , Kangmai Hu , Jiafu Yi , Lihua Zhang

Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-15 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Auroop R Ganguly

Addressing the computational challenges inherent in training large-scale deep neural networks remains a critical endeavor in contemporary machine learning research. While previous efforts have focused on enhancing training efficiency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Xiao Shou , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Yanna Ding , Chen Zhao , Rui Li , Jianxi Gao

Solar energy adoption is critical to achieving net-zero emissions. However, it remains difficult for many industrial and commercial actors to decide on whether they should adopt distributed solar-battery systems, which is largely due to the…

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Weather forecasting supports critical socioeconomic activities and complements environmental protection, yet operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems remain computationally intensive, thus being inefficient for certain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Nikolas Stavrou , Siamak Mehrkanoon

In this paper, we present SSDNet, a novel deep learning approach for time series forecasting. SSDNet combines the Transformer architecture with state space models to provide probabilistic and interpretable forecasts, including trend and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-21 Yang Lin , Irena Koprinska , Mashud Rana

The exponential growth of multivariate time series data from sensor networks in domains like industrial monitoring and smart cities requires efficient and accurate forecasting models. Current deep learning methods often fail to adequately…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Xinxing Zhou , Jiaqi Ye , Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Chengyi Yang , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

Coarse resolution, imperfect parameterizations, and uncertain initial states and forcings limit Earth-system model (ESM) predictions. Traditional bias correction via data assimilation improves constrained simulations but offers limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Aniruddha Bora , Shixuan Zhang , Khemraj Shukla , Bryce Harrop , George Em. Karniadakis , L. Ruby Leung

Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency and severity with global warming. Improved warning systems would help reduce the associated loss of lives, wildfires, power disruptions, and reduction in crop yields. In this work, we…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-01-13 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Amy McGovern , Shreya Agrawal , Jason Hickey

Within the domain of medical image analysis, three distinct methodologies have demonstrated commendable accuracy: Neural Networks, Decision Trees, and Ensemble-Based Learning Algorithms, particularly in the specialized context of genstro…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Zeshan Khan

With the highly demand of large-scale and real-time weather service for public, a refinement of short-time cloudage prediction has become an essential part of the weather forecast productions. To provide a weather-service-compliant cloudage…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-05-21 Chao Tan , Xin Feng , Jianwu Long , Li Geng

Data is scaling exponentially in fields ranging from genomics to neuroscience to economics. A central question is: can modern machine learning methods be applied to construct predictive models of natural systems like cells and brains based…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-08-17 Audrey Huang , Benjamin Sheldan , David A. Sivak , Matt Thomson

Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity - particularly during periods of rapid intensification and rapid weakening - remains a challenge for operational meteorology, with high-stakes implications for disaster preparedness…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-29 Hongyu Qu , Hongxiong Xu , Lin Dong , Chunyi Xiang , Gaozhen Nie

Understanding seasonal climatic conditions is critical for better management of resources such as water, energy and agriculture. Recently, there has been a great interest in utilizing the power of artificial intelligence methods in climate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Alper Unal , Busra Asan , Ismail Sezen , Bugra Yesilkaynak , Yusuf Aydin , Mehmet Ilicak , Gozde Unal