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We consider a general class of regression models with normally distributed covariates, and the associated nonconvex problem of fitting these models from data. We develop a general recipe for analyzing the convergence of iterative algorithms…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-22 Kabir Aladin Chandrasekher , Ashwin Pananjady , Christos Thrampoulidis

The problem of estimating a parametric or nonparametric regression function in a model with normal errors is considered. For this purpose, a novel objective prior for the regression function is proposed, defined as the distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-13 Wicher Bergsma

We present a general framework for accelerating a large class of widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. Our approach exploits fast, iterative approximations to the target density to speculatively evaluate many potential…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-03-31 Elaine Angelino , Eddie Kohler , Amos Waterland , Margo Seltzer , Ryan P. Adams

In analyses with severe data-limitations, augmenting the target dataset with information from ancillary datasets in the application domain, called source datasets, can lead to significantly improved statistical procedures. However, existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-01 Nathan Wycoff , Ali Arab , Lisa O. Singh

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

We study Bayesian estimation of mixture models and argue in favor of fitting the marginal posterior distribution over component assignments directly, rather than Gibbs sampling from the joint posterior on components and parameters as is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-03 M. E. J. Newman

This paper describes how to specify probability models for data analysis via a backward induction procedure. The new approach yields coherent, prior-free uncertainty assessment. After presenting some intuition-building examples, the new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-24 P. Richard Hahn

We present an adaptive method for the automatic scaling of Random-Walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithms, which quickly and robustly identifies the scaling factor that yields a specified overall sampler acceptance probability. Our method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-21 P. H. Garthwaite , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

Sparsity has become a key concept for solving of high-dimensional inverse problems using variational regularization techniques. Recently, using similar sparsity-constraints in the Bayesian framework for inverse problems by encoding them in…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-11-18 Felix Lucka

Tuning particle accelerators is a challenging and time-consuming task that can be automated and carried out efficiently using suitable optimization algorithms, such as model-based Bayesian optimization techniques. One of the major…

The paper is devoted to the study of a parametric deformation model of independent and identically random variables. Firstly, we construct an efficient and very easy to compute recursive estimate of the parameter. Our stochastic estimator…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-04 Philippe Fraysse , Hélène Lescornel , Jean-Michel Loubès

We introduce Robust Bayesian Sequential Borrowing (RBSB), a framework for extrapolating evidence across adjacent subgroups in multi-population clinical programmes where studies are conducted in sequence and populations are ordered by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Erik Hermansson , Lynn Dunsire , David Svensson , Thomas Jaki

The Robbins-Siegmund theorem is one of the most important results in stochastic optimization, where it is widely used to prove the convergence of stochastic algorithms. We provide a quantitative version of the theorem, establishing a bound…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-30 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Extraordinary amounts of data are being produced in many branches of science. Proven statistical methods are no longer applicable with extraordinary large data sets due to computational limitations. A critical step in big data analysis is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-27 HaiYing Wang , Min Yang , John Stufken

Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-05 Moumita Chakraborty , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose an unconstrained stochastic approximation method of finding the optimal measure change (in an a priori parametric family) for Monte Carlo simulations. We consider different parametric families based on the Girsanov theorem and…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

Mixture models are commonly used in applications with heterogeneity and overdispersion in the population, as they allow the identification of subpopulations. In the Bayesian framework, this entails the specification of suitable prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Andrea Cremaschi , Timothy M. Wertz , Maria De Iorio

Correspondence selection aims to correctly select the consistent matches (inliers) from an initial set of putative correspondences. The selection is challenging since putative matches are typically extremely unbalanced, largely dominated by…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-30 Chen Zhao , Yixiao Ge , Feng Zhu , Rui Zhao , Hongsheng Li , Mathieu Salzmann