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Survival analysis studies time-modeling techniques for an event of interest occurring for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences. However, the data needed to train…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Alberto Archetti , Eugenio Lomurno , Francesco Lattari , André Martin , Matteo Matteucci

Many clinical studies require the follow-up of patients over time. This is challenging: apart from frequently observed drop-out, there are often also organizational and financial challenges, which can lead to reduced data collection and, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-26 Fateme Nateghi Haredasht , Celine Vens

Objective: Survival analysis is central to medical prediction, yet large language models (LLMs) are rarely used as end-to-end survival models because censoring prevents straightforward supervised fine-tuning. Here we present LLMSurvival, a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Yishu Wei , Hexin Dong , Yi Lin , Jiahe Qian , Yi Liu , Yifan Peng

Probabilistic survival predictions from models trained with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) can have high, and sometimes unacceptably high variance. The field of meteorology, where the paradigm of maximizing sharpness subject to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-20 Anand Avati , Tony Duan , Sharon Zhou , Kenneth Jung , Nigam H. Shah , Andrew Ng

Machine learning applications for longitudinal electronic health records often forecast the risk of events at fixed time points, whereas survival analysis achieves dynamic risk prediction by estimating time-to-event distributions. Here, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Munib Mesinovic , Peter Watkinson , Tingting Zhu

The conditional survival function of a time-to-event outcome subject to censoring and truncation is a common target of estimation in survival analysis. This parameter may be of scientific interest and also often appears as a nuisance in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Charles J. Wolock , Peter B. Gilbert , Noah Simon , Marco Carone

Flexible continuous-time survival modeling is critical for capturing complex time-varying hazard dynamics in high-dimensional data; however, training such models remains challenging due to the intractable integral required for likelihood…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Chaeyeon Lee , Sehwan Kim , Hyungrok Do

This paper addresses the problem of identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment in the presence of unmeasured confounding and various types of right-censoring. Examples of these censoring mechanisms are administrative…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-19 Ilias Willems , Sara Rutten , Gilles Crommen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

The computational prediction algorithm of neural network, or deep learning, has drawn much attention recently in statistics as well as in image recognition and natural language processing. Particularly in statistical application for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Yichen Jia , Jong-Hyeon Jeong

Synthetic data is becoming an increasingly promising technology, and successful applications can improve privacy, fairness, and data democratization. While there are many methods for generating synthetic tabular data, the task remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Alexander Norcliffe , Bogdan Cebere , Fergus Imrie , Pietro Lio , Mihaela van der Schaar

Survival analysis is a subfield of statistics concerned with modeling the occurrence time of a particular event of interest for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Alberto Archetti , Matteo Matteucci

Accurate predictions of when a component will fail are crucial when planning maintenance, and by modeling the distribution of these failure times, survival models have shown to be particularly useful in this context. The presented…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-28 Olov Holmer , Mattias Krysander , Erik Frisk

Survival analysis aims to predict the timing of future events across various fields, from medical outcomes to customer churn. However, the integration of clustering into survival analysis, particularly for precision medicine, remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Gabriel Buginga , Edmundo de Souza e Silva

Survival analysis/time-to-event models are extremely useful as they can help companies predict when a customer will buy a product, churn or default on a loan, and therefore help them improve their ROI. In this paper, we introduce a new…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-18 Stephane Fotso

We introduce NeuralSurv, the first deep survival model to incorporate Bayesian uncertainty quantification. Our non-parametric, architecture-agnostic framework captures time-varying covariate-risk relationships in continuous time via a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Mélodie Monod , Alessandro Micheli , Samir Bhatt

While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

Risk prediction models are widely used to guide real-world decision-making in areas such as healthcare and economics, and they also play a key role in estimating nuisance parameters in semiparametric inference. The super learner is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-05 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

Prediction methods for time-to-event outcomes often utilize survival models that rely on strong assumptions about noninformative censoring or on how individual-level covariates and survival functions are related. When the main interest is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-29 Mahsa Ashouri , Nicholas C. Henderson

Scoring systems are highly interpretable and widely used to evaluate time-to-event outcomes in healthcare research. However, existing time-to-event scores are predominantly created ad-hoc using a few manually selected variables based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Feng Xie , Yilin Ning , Han Yuan , Benjamin Alan Goldstein , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Nan Liu , Bibhas Chakraborty

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou