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We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto

Point forecasting of univariate time series is a challenging problem with extensive work having been conducted. However, nonparametric probabilistic forecasting of time series, such as in the form of quantiles or prediction intervals is an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-15 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore

Machine and statistical learning algorithms can be reliably automated and applied at scale. Therefore, they can constitute a considerable asset for designing practical forecasting systems, such as those related to urban water demand.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

In the field of chemistry, there have been many attempts to predict the properties of unknown compounds from statistical models constructed using machine learning. In an area where many known compounds are present (the interpolation area),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-22 Kohei Numata , Kenichi Tanaka

We are living in an information era from Twitter to Fitocracy every episode of peoples life is converted to numbers. That abundance of data is also available in information technologies. From Stackoverflow to GitHub many big data sources…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2017-03-29 Mahmut Ali Ozkuran

The paper suggests a method of extrapolation of notion of one-sided semi-infinite sequences representing traces of two-sided band-limited sequences; this features ensure uniqueness of this extrapolation and possibility to use this for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-08 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Within this decade, quantum computers are predicted to outperform conventional computers in terms of processing power and have a disruptive effect on a variety of business sectors. It is predicted that the financial sector would be one of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-03-10 Prateek Jain , Alberto Garcia Garcia

Forecast combination -- the aggregation of individual forecasts from multiple experts or models -- is a proven approach to economic forecasting. To date, research on economic forecasting has concentrated on local combination methods, which…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-12 Ryan Thompson , Yilin Qian , Andrey L. Vasnev

Methods for quantifying the similarity of datasets are relevant in applications where two or more datasets, or their underlying distributions, need to be compared, ranging from two- and k-sample testing to applications in machine learning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Marieke Stolte , Jörg Rahnenführer , Andrea Bommert

The field of neural style transfer has experienced a surge of research exploring different avenues ranging from optimization-based approaches and feed-forward models to meta-learning methods. The developed techniques have not just…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Matthias Wright , Björn Ommer

Quantile regression and quantile treatment effect methods are powerful econometric tools for considering economic impacts of events or variables of interest beyond the mean. The use of quantile methods allows for an examination of impacts…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-16 Damian Clarke , Manuel Llorca Jaña , Daniel Pailañir

We develop a collection of methods for adjusting the predictions of quantile regression to ensure coverage. Our methods are model agnostic and can be used to correct for high-dimensional overfitting bias with only minimal assumptions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-10 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Technical debt is a metaphor used to convey the idea that doing things in a "quick and dirty" way when designing and constructing a software leads to a situation where one incurs more and more deferred future expenses. Similarly to…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Alvine Boaye Belle

Time-series forecasting is essential for strategic planning and resource allocation. In this work, we explore two quantum-based approaches for time-series forecasting. The first approach utilizes a Parameterized Quantum Circuit (PQC) model.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-12-10 Maksims Dimitrijevs , Mārtiņš Kālis , Iļja Repko

Quantum computers use quantum mechanical phenomena to perform conventionally intractable calculations for specific problems. Despite being universal machines, quantum computers are not expected to replace classical computers, but rather, to…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Philip Döbler , Manpreet Singh Jattana

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

This paper reports the use of a qualitative methodology for conducting longitudinal case study research on software development. We provide a detailed description and explanation of appropriate methods of qualitative data collection and…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-01-22 Laurie McLeod , Stephen G. MacDonell , Bill Doolin

Time series forecasting has always been a thought-provoking topic in the field of machine learning. Machine learning scientists define a time series as a set of observations recorded over consistent time steps. And, time series forecasting…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-07-19 Payal Kaushik , Sayantan Pramanik , M Girish Chandra , C V Sridhar

Time-series forecasting has been an important research domain for so many years. Its applications include ECG predictions, sales forecasting, weather conditions, even COVID-19 spread predictions. These applications have motivated many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-15 Shruti Jadon , Jan Kanty Milczek , Ajit Patankar

Predictive models are one of the most important techniques that are widely applied in many areas of software engineering. There have been a large number of primary studies that apply predictive models and that present well-preformed studies…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-08-11 Yanming Yang , Xin Xia , David Lo , Tingting Bi , John Grundy , Xiaohu Yang