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In this review, we address the use of Monte Carlo methods for approximating definite integrals of the form $Z = \int L(x) d P(x)$, where $L$ is a target function (often a likelihood) and $P$ a finite measure. We present vertical-likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-24 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

We describe Monte Carlo approximation to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants and explanatory variables. We consider both sources of randomness (due to the initial sample and to Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is a versatile tool for model parameter estimation in latent data models. When processing large data sets or data stream however, EM becomes intractable since it requires the whole data set to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-18 Sylvain Le Corff , Gersende Fort

The expectation maximization (EM) algorithm is a widespread method for empirical Bayesian inference, but its expectation step (E-step) is often intractable. Employing a stochastic approximation scheme with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-29 Samuel Gruffaz , Kyurae Kim , Alain Oliviero Durmus , Jacob R. Gardner

The Monte Carlo algorithm is increasingly utilized, with its central step involving computer-based random sampling from stochastic models. While both Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Reject Monte Carlo serve as sampling methods, the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-28 Fengyu Li , Huijiao Yu , Jun Yan , Xianyong Meng

In recent years dynamical systems (of deterministic and stochastic nature), describing many models in mathematics, physics, engineering and finances, become more and more complex. Numerical analysis narrowed only to deterministic algorithms…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-02-13 Paweł Przybyłowicz

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

Population Monte Carlo (PMC) sampling methods are powerful tools for approximating distributions of static unknowns given a set of observations. These methods are iterative in nature: at each step they generate samples from a proposal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Regression analysis with missing data is a long-standing and challenging problem, particularly when there are many missing variables with arbitrary missing patterns. Likelihood-based methods, although theoretically appealing, are often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-16 Ngok Sang Kwok , Kin Yau Wong

We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

Nowadays, the confidentiality of data and information is of great importance for many companies and organizations. For this reason, they may prefer not to release exact data, but instead to grant researchers access to approximate data. For…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-24 Zahra A. Shirazi , João Pedro A. R. da Silva , Camila P. E. de Souza

We develop a novel Monte Carlo algorithm for the vector consisting of the supremum, the time at which the supremum is attained and the position at a given (constant) time of an exponentially tempered L\'evy process. The algorithm, based on…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-20 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

To deal with very large datasets a mini-batch version of the Monte Carlo Markov Chain Stochastic Approximation Expectation-Maximization algorithm for general latent variable models is proposed. For exponential models the algorithm is shown…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-30 Tabea Rebafka , Estelle Kuhn , Catherine Matias

We propose an expectation-maximization-like(EMlike) method to train Boltzmann machine with unconstrained connectivity. It adopts Monte Carlo approximation in the E-step, and replaces the intractable likelihood objective with efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-08 Jinmeng Song , Chun Yuan

Monte Carlo method is a broad class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results. They are often used in physical and mathematical problems and are most useful when it is difficult or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-28 Bochao Jia

A basic simulation-based reinforcement learning algorithm is the Monte Carlo Exploring States (MCES) method, also known as optimistic policy iteration, in which the value function is approximated by simulated returns and a greedy policy is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-22 Jun Liu

The Monte Carlo (MC) method is the most common technique used for uncertainty quantification, due to its simplicity and good statistical results. However, its computational cost is extremely high, and, in many cases, prohibitive.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-21 A. Cunha , R. Nasser , R. Sampaio , H. Lopes , K. Breitman

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

概率论 · 数学 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong