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Conformal prediction offers finite-sample coverage guarantees under minimal assumptions. However, existing methods treat the entire modeling process as a black box, overlooking opportunities to exploit and understand modular structure. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-25 William Zhang , Saurabh Amin , Georgia Perakis

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

3D convolution neural networks (CNN) have been proved very successful in parsing organs or tumours in 3D medical images, but it remains sophisticated and time-consuming to choose or design proper 3D networks given different task contexts.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-04-21 Qihang Yu , Dong Yang , Holger Roth , Yutong Bai , Yixiao Zhang , Alan L. Yuille , Daguang Xu

Continuous-time long-term event prediction plays an important role in many application scenarios. Most existing works rely on autoregressive frameworks to predict event sequences, which suffer from error accumulation, thus compromising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-03 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Ling Tian

Diffusion-based graph generative models have recently obtained promising results for graph generation. However, existing diffusion-based graph generative models are mostly one-shot generative models that apply Gaussian diffusion in the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Lingkai Kong , Jiaming Cui , Haotian Sun , Yuchen Zhuang , B. Aditya Prakash , Chao Zhang

Set-based transformer models for amortized probabilistic inference and meta-learning, such as neural processes, prior-fitted networks, and tabular foundation models, excel at single-pass marginal prediction. However, many applications…

Conditional neural processes (CNPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a) are attractive meta-learning models which produce well-calibrated predictions and are trainable via a simple maximum likelihood procedure. Although CNPs have many advantages, they…

High-dimensional panels of time series often arise in finance and macroeconomics, where co-movements within groups of panel components occur. Extracting these groupings from the data provides a coarse-grained description of the complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Brendan Martin , Francesco Sanna Passino , Mihai Cucuringu , Alessandra Luati

A high-precision feature extraction model is crucial for change detection (CD). In the past, many deep learning-based supervised CD methods learned to recognize change feature patterns from a large number of labelled bi-temporal images,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Chengxi Han , Chen Wu , Meiqi Hu , Jiepan Li , Hongruixuan Chen

In scientific research, charts are usually the primary method for visually representing data. However, the accessibility of charts remains a significant concern. In an effort to improve chart understanding pipelines, we focus on optimizing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Nour Shaheen , Tamer Elsharnouby , Marwan Torki

Autoregressive models have shown remarkable success in image generation by adapting sequential prediction techniques from language modeling. However, applying these approaches to images requires discretizing continuous pixel data through…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-21 Ziyao Guo , Kaipeng Zhang , Michael Qizhe Shieh

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac

We reinterpret Visual Autoregressive (VAR) models as iterative refinement models to identify which design choices drive their quality-efficiency trade-off. Instead of treating VAR only as next-scale autoregression, we formalise it as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Steve Hong , Samuel Belkadi

Forecast systems in science and technology are increasingly moving beyond point prediction toward methods that produce full predictive distributions of future outcomes y, conditional on high-dimensional and complex sequences of inputs x.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

We introduce Dynamic Deep Neural Networks (D2NN), a new type of feed-forward deep neural network that allows selective execution. Given an input, only a subset of D2NN neurons are executed, and the particular subset is determined by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-06 Lanlan Liu , Jia Deng

Regularization is often used in high-dimensional regression settings to generate a sparse model, which can save tremendous computing resources and identify predictors that are most strongly associated with the response. When the predictors…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Jia Wei He , R. Ayesha Ali , Gerarda Darlington

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are highly flexible predictive models. However, reliably quantifying uncertainty for their predictions is a continuing challenge. There has been much recent work on "recalibration" of predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 R. Torres , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson , T. Rodrigues , J. G. Reis , G. S. Rodrigues

Autoregressive models are predominant in natural language generation, while their application in tabular data remains underexplored. We posit that this can be attributed to two factors: 1) tabular data contains heterogeneous data type,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Hengrui Zhang , Liancheng Fang , Qitian Wu , Philip S. Yu

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been widely used for modeling temporal dependence in a multivariate time series. For large (and even moderate) dimensions, the number of AR coefficients can be prohibitively large, resulting in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng