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Short fixed-length inputs are the main bottleneck of deep learning methods in long time-series forecasting tasks. Prolonging input length causes overfitting, rapidly deteriorating accuracy. Our research indicates that the overfitting is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-05 Chao Ma , Yikai Hou , Xiang Li , Yinggang Sun , Haining Yu

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

This paper gives an overview on how to develop a dense and deep neural network for making a time series prediction. First, the history and cornerstones in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning will be presented. After a short…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Bojan Lukić

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) offer fast inference on long sequences but are hard to optimize and slow to train. Deep state-space models (SSMs) have recently been shown to perform remarkably well on long sequence modeling tasks, and have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-14 Antonio Orvieto , Samuel L Smith , Albert Gu , Anushan Fernando , Caglar Gulcehre , Razvan Pascanu , Soham De

Sum-product networks (SPNs) have recently emerged as a novel deep learning architecture enabling highly efficient probabilistic inference. Since their introduction, SPNs have been applied to a wide range of data modalities and extended to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Adam Dejl , Harsh Deep , Jonathan Fei , Ardavan Saeedi , Li-wei H. Lehman

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-07-24 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Enrico Maiorino , Michael C. Kampffmeyer , Antonello Rizzi , Robert Jenssen

Handling previously unseen tasks after given only a few training examples continues to be a tough challenge in machine learning. We propose TapNets, neural networks augmented with task-adaptive projection for improved few-shot learning.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-24 Sung Whan Yoon , Jun Seo , Jaekyun Moon

The recent decade has seen an enormous rise in the popularity of deep learning and neural networks. These algorithms have broken many previous records and achieved remarkable results. Their outstanding performance has significantly sped up…

In this work, a novel approach for the construction and training of time series models is presented that deals with the problem of learning on large time series with non-equispaced observations, which at the same time may possess features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Charilaos Mylonas , Eleni Chatzi

Directly learning to generate audio waveforms in an autoregressive manner is a challenging task, due to the length of the raw sequences and the existence of important structure on many different timescales. Traditional approaches based on…

声音 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Konrad Szewczyk , Daniel Gallo Fernández , James Townsend

Autoregressive and recurrent networks have achieved remarkable progress across various fields, from weather forecasting to molecular generation and Large Language Models. Despite their strong predictive capabilities, these models lack a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Dario Coscia , Max Welling , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

Ensembles of deep neural networks significantly improve generalization accuracy. However, training neural network ensembles requires a large amount of computational resources and time. State-of-the-art approaches either train all networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Abdul Wasay , Brian Hentschel , Yuze Liao , Sanyuan Chen , Stratos Idreos

Multivariate time series prediction has attracted a lot of attention because of its wide applications such as intelligence transportation, AIOps. Generative models have achieved impressive results in time series modeling because they can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-21 Tijin Yan , Hongwei Zhang , Tong Zhou , Yufeng Zhan , Yuanqing Xia

Traffic flow forecasting is a critical spatio-temporal data mining task with wide-ranging applications in intelligent route planning and dynamic traffic management. Recent advancements in deep learning, particularly through Graph Neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Weiyang Kong , Kaiqi Wu , Sen Zhang , Yubao Liu

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Recurrent neural nets are widely used for predicting temporal data. Their inherent deep feedforward structure allows learning complex sequential patterns. It is believed that top-down feedback might be an important missing ingredient which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-10-20 Kamil M Rocki

Many prediction problems across science and engineering, especially in finance and economics, involve large cross-sections of individual time series, where each unit (e.g., a loan, stock, or customer) is driven by unit-level features and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Apaar Sadhwani , Kay Giesecke

Hypernetworks, or hypernets for short, are neural networks that generate weights for another neural network, known as the target network. They have emerged as a powerful deep learning technique that allows for greater flexibility,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Vinod Kumar Chauhan , Jiandong Zhou , Ping Lu , Soheila Molaei , David A. Clifton

Recurrent neural networks are nowadays successfully used in an abundance of applications, going from text, speech and image processing to recommender systems. Backpropagation through time is the algorithm that is commonly used to train…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-10 Cedric De Boom , Thomas Demeester , Bart Dhoedt