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Digital twins are developed to model the behavior of a specific physical asset (or twin), and they can consist of high-fidelity physics-based models or surrogates. A highly accurate surrogate is often preferred over multi-physics models as…

Online anomaly detection of time-series data is an important and challenging task in machine learning. Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and flexible models for modeling time-series data. However, the high time complexity of GPs limits…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-16 Jingjing Fei , Shiliang Sun

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are flexible, nonparametric Bayesian models widely used for regression and classification because of their ability to capture complex data patterns and quantify predictive uncertainty. However, the O(n^3)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Hua Huang , Tianshi Xu , Yuanzhe Xi , Edmond Chow

There is wide agreement that the accuracy of turbulence models suffer from their sensitivity with respect to physical input data, the uncertainties of user-elected parameters, as well as the model inadequacy. However, the application of…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-08-07 Hoang A. Tran , Clayton G. Webster , Guannan Zhang

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

Variational approximations to Gaussian processes (GPs) typically use a small set of inducing points to form a low-rank approximation to the covariance matrix. In this work, we instead exploit a sparse approximation of the precision matrix.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Luhuan Wu , Geoff Pleiss , John Cunningham

In this work, we present an extension of Gaussian process (GP) models with sophisticated parallelization and GPU acceleration. The parallelization scheme arises naturally from the modular computational structure w.r.t. datapoints in the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2014-10-21 Zhenwen Dai , Andreas Damianou , James Hensman , Neil Lawrence

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

Surrogate models provide a quick-to-evaluate approximation to complex computational models and are essential for multi-query problems like design optimisation. The inputs of current deterministic computational models are usually…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

Machine-designed control of complex devices or experiments can discover strategies superior to those developed via simplified models. We describe an online optimization algorithm based on Gaussian processes and apply it to optimization of…

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Objective: Gaussian Processes (GP)-based filters, which have been effectively used for various applications including electrocardiogram (ECG) filtering can be computationally demanding and the choice of their hyperparameters is typically ad…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-10 Mircea Dumitru , Qiao Li , Erick Andres Perez Alday , Ali Bahrami Rad , Gari D. Clifford , Reza Sameni

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Gaussian process (GP) emulators have become essential tools for approximating complex simulators, significantly reducing computational demands in optimization, sensitivity analysis, and model calibration. While traditional GP emulators…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson

A critical bottleneck for scientific progress is the costly nature of computer simulations for complex systems. Surrogate models provide an appealing solution: such models are trained on simulator evaluations, then used to emulate and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Xinming Wang , Simon Mak , John Miller , Jianguo Wu

Recent advances in variational inference enable the modelling of highly structured joint distributions, but are limited in their capacity to scale to the high-dimensional setting of stochastic neural networks. This limitation motivates a…

Zero-inflated datasets, which have an excess of zero outputs, are commonly encountered in problems such as climate or rare event modelling. Conventional machine learning approaches tend to overestimate the non-zeros leading to poor…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-15 Pashupati Hegde , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is an important type of supervised machine learning model with inherent uncertainty measure in its predictions. We propose a new framework, nuGPR, to address the well-known challenge of high computation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Ziqi Zhao , Vivek Sarin

In applied Bayesian inference scenarios, users may have access to a large number of pre-existing model evaluations, for example from maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) optimization runs. However, traditional approximate inference techniques make…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Chengkun Li , Grégoire Clarté , Martin Jørgensen , Luigi Acerbi