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Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) on fragile populations frequently encounter complex attrition problems where the reasons for missing outcomes can be heterogeneous, with participants who are known alive, known to have died, or with unknown…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Guangyu Tong , Chenxi Li , Eric Velazquez , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

A new matching method is proposed for the estimation of the average treatment effect of social policy interventions (e.g., training programs or health care measures). Given an outcome variable, a treatment and a set of pre-treatment…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Stefano Iacus , Giuseppe Porro

Reliable estimation of treatment effects from observational data is important in many disciplines such as medicine. However, estimation is challenging when unconfoundedness as a standard assumption in the causal inference literature is…

We propose a framework for testing the homogeneity of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across multiple experimental and observational studies. Our approach leverages multiple randomized trials to assess whether treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-25 Ana Armendariz , Martin Huber

In this paper, we introduce a unified estimator to analyze various treatment effects in causal inference, including but not limited to the average treatment effect (ATE) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE). The proposed estimator is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Kuan-Hsun Wu , Li-Pang Chen

In studies of time-to-event outcomes with unmeasured heterogeneity, the hazard ratio for treatment is known to have a complex causal interpretation. Accelerated failure time (AFT) models, which assess the effect on the survival time ratio…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Mari Brathovde , Hein Putter , Morten Valberg , Richard A. J. Post

One of the central goals of causal machine learning is the accurate estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data. In recent years, meta-learning has emerged as a flexible, model-agnostic paradigm for estimating…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Henri Arno , Paloma Rabaey , Thomas Demeester

There has recently been a growing interest in the development of statistical methods to compare medical costs between treatment groups. When cumulative cost is the outcome of interest, right-censoring poses the challenge of informative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Andrew J. Spieker , Arman Oganisian , Emily M. Ko , Jason A. Roy , Nandita Mitra

Estimating individualized treatment rules is a central task for personalized medicine. [zhao2012estimating] and [zhang2012robust] proposed outcome weighted learning to estimate individualized treatment rules directly through maximizing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-02 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Michael Kosorok

In this study, we focus on estimating the heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcome. The outcome is subject to censoring and the number of covariates is high-dimensional. We utilize data from both the randomized controlled…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-21 Xin Ye , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang , Yanyan Liu

There is a dearth of robust methods to estimate the causal effects of multiple treatments when the outcome is binary. This paper uses two unique sets of simulations to propose and evaluate the use of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Liangyuan Hu , Chenyang Gu , Michael Lopez , Jiayi Ji , Juan Wisnivesky

We investigate the task of estimating the conditional average causal effect of treatment-dosage pairs from a combination of observational data and assumptions on the causal relationships in the underlying system. This has been a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Alexis Bellot , Anish Dhir , Giulia Prando

There has been considerable recent interest in estimating heterogeneous causal effects. In this paper, we study conditional average partial causal effects (CAPCE) to reveal the heterogeneity of causal effects with continuous treatment. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-03 Yuta Kawakami , Manabu Kuroki , Jin Tian

The average treatment effect can obscure important heterogeneity when individuals respond differently to a treatment. While the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function captures such heterogeneity, it is difficult to communicate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

We propose Causal Interaction Trees for identifying subgroups of participants that have enhanced treatment effects using observational data. We extend the Classification and Regression Tree algorithm by using splitting criteria that focus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-08 Jiabei Yang , Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson

In recent years, censored quantile regression has enjoyed an increasing popularity for survival analysis while many existing works rely on linearity assumptions. In this work, we propose a Global Censored Quantile Random Forest (GCQRF) for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-17 Siyu Zhou , Limin Peng

In longitudinal observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, a common objective in causal analysis is to estimate the causal survival curve under hypothetical intervention scenarios. The g-formula is a useful tool for this analysis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Xinyuan Chen , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

We address the problem of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data, adopting the popular Difference-in-Differences (DiD) framework under the conditional parallel trends assumption. We propose a novel doubly robust…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Hui Lan , Haoge Chang , Eleanor Dillon , Vasilis Syrgkanis

In estimating the causal effect of a continuous exposure or treatment, it is important to control for all confounding factors. However, most existing methods require parametric specification for how control variables influence the outcome…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Spencer Woody , Carlos M. Carvalho , P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray

This paper introduces a novel approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects of binary treatment in panel data, particularly focusing on short panel data with large cross-sectional data and observed confoundings. In contrast to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Meijia Wang , Ignacio Martinez , P. Richard Hahn