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Nonparametric and machine learning methods are flexible methods for obtaining accurate predictions. Nowadays, data sets with a large number of predictors and complex structures are fairly common. In the presence of item nonresponse,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

Spurred on by recent successes in causal inference competitions, Bayesian nonparametric (and high-dimensional) methods have recently seen increased attention in the causal inference literature. In this paper, we present a comprehensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Antonio R. Linero , Joseph L. Antonelli

We propose an efficient family of algorithms to learn the parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. In contrast to textbook approaches such as EM and the gradient method, our approach is non-iterative, yields closed form…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-26 Guy Van den Broeck , Karthika Mohan , Arthur Choi , Judea Pearl

The adaptive processing of structured data is a long-standing research topic in machine learning that investigates how to automatically learn a mapping from a structured input to outputs of various nature. Recently, there has been an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Federico Errica

Bayesian model reduction provides an efficient approach for comparing the performance of all nested sub-models of a model, without re-evaluating any of these sub-models. Until now, Bayesian model reduction has been applied mainly in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Jim Beckers , Bart van Erp , Ziyue Zhao , Kirill Kondrashov , Bert de Vries

Gathering labeled data to train well-performing machine learning models is one of the critical challenges in many applications. Active learning aims at reducing the labeling costs by an efficient and effective allocation of costly labeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-03 Daniel Kottke , Marek Herde , Christoph Sandrock , Denis Huseljic , Georg Krempl , Bernhard Sick

Frequentist and Bayesian methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimal properties. In real-life classification and regression problems, situations exist in which a model based on one of the methods is preferable based on some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-29 Tanujit Chakraborty , Gauri Kamat , Ashis Kumar Chakraborty

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

Bayesian inference on structured models typically relies on the ability to infer posterior distributions of underlying hidden variables. However, inference in implicit models or complex posterior distributions is hard. A popular tool for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-16 Theofanis Karaletsos

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization instead of optimization, not the prior, or Bayes rule. Bayesian inference is especially compelling for deep neural networks. (1) Neural networks are typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-30 Andrew Gordon Wilson

We showed how to use trained neural networks to perform Bayesian reasoning in order to solve tasks outside their initial scope. Deep generative models provide prior knowledge, and classification/regression networks impose constraints. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Jakob Knollmüller , Torsten Enßlin

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Regression models are used for inference and prediction in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers and analysts from different fields. In many research fields the amount of available data as well as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-08 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

Bayesian inference and kernel methods are well established in machine learning. The neural network Gaussian process in particular provides a concept to investigate neural networks in the limit of infinitely wide hidden layers by using…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2023-11-10 Javed Lindner , David Dahmen , Michael Krämer , Moritz Helias

Integration over non-negative integrands is a central problem in machine learning (e.g. for model averaging, (hyper-)parameter marginalisation, and computing posterior predictive distributions). Bayesian Quadrature is a probabilistic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-05 Ed Wagstaff , Saad Hamid , Michael Osborne

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled approach for assessing the relative merits of competing computational models and propagating uncertainty into model selection decisions. However, BMC is often intractable for the popular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Lasse Elsemüller , Martin Schnuerch , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

Learning a sequence of tasks without access to i.i.d. observations is a widely studied form of continual learning (CL) that remains challenging. In principle, Bayesian learning directly applies to this setting, since recursive and one-off…

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the networks, we derive neural…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2010-04-30 Michael J. Barber , John W. Clark

We introduce a new, rigorously-formulated Bayesian meta-learning algorithm that learns a probability distribution of model parameter prior for few-shot learning. The proposed algorithm employs a gradient-based variational inference to infer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Cuong Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

Graphical models have been popularly used for capturing conditional independence structure in multivariate data, which are often built upon independent and identically distributed observations, limiting their applicability to complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-03 Yuwen Wang , Changyu Liu , Xin He , Junhui Wang