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Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer robust uncertainty quantification in model predictions, but training them presents a significant computational challenge. This is mainly due to the problem of sampling multimodal posterior distributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Ratneel Deo , Scott Sisson , Jody M. Webster , Rohitash Chandra

The posterior over Bayesian neural network (BNN) parameters is extremely high-dimensional and non-convex. For computational reasons, researchers approximate this posterior using inexpensive mini-batch methods such as mean-field variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Pavel Izmailov , Sharad Vikram , Matthew D. Hoffman , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Monte Carlo (MC) integration is the de facto method for approximating the predictive distribution of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). But, even with many MC samples, Gaussian-based BNNs could still yield bad predictive performance due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Agustinus Kristiadi , Runa Eschenhagen , Philipp Hennig

As modern neural networks get more complex, specifying a model with high predictive performance and sound uncertainty quantification becomes a more challenging task. Despite some promising theoretical results on the true posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

Classical parameter-space Bayesian inference for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) suffers from several unresolved prior issues, such as knowledge encoding intractability and pathological behaviours in deep networks, which can lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-11 Mengjing Wu , Junyu Xuan , Jie Lu

In this article we consider Bayesian inference associated to deep neural networks (DNNs) and in particular, trace-class neural network (TNN) priors which can be preferable to traditional DNNs as (a) they are identifiable and (b) they…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Sumeetpal S. Singh

The "cold posterior effect" (CPE) in Bayesian deep learning describes the uncomforting observation that the predictive performance of Bayesian neural networks can be significantly improved if the Bayes posterior is artificially sharpened…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Lorenzo Noci , Kevin Roth , Gregor Bachmann , Sebastian Nowozin , Thomas Hofmann

In conducting non-linear dimensionality reduction and feature learning, it is common to suppose that the data lie near a lower-dimensional manifold. A class of model-based approaches for such problems includes latent variables in an unknown…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-20 Deborshee Sen , Theodore Papamarkou , David Dunson

The Cold Posterior Effect (CPE) is a phenomenon in Bayesian Deep Learning (BDL), where tempering the posterior to a cold temperature often improves the predictive performance of the posterior predictive distribution (PPD). Although the term…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Susan Wei

The radio astronomy community is rapidly adopting deep learning techniques to deal with the huge data volumes expected from the next generation of radio observatories. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a principled way to model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Devina Mohan , Anna M. M. Scaife

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

We propose a new class of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) that can be trained using noisy data of variable fidelity, and we apply them to learn function approximations as well as to solve inverse problems based on partial differential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Xuhui Meng , Hessam Babaee , George Em Karniadakis

Methods based on Deep Learning have recently been applied on astrophysical parameter recovery thanks to their ability to capture information from complex data. One of these methods is the approximate Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) which…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Héctor J. Hortúa , Luz Ángela García , Leonardo Castañeda C

Most applications of Bayesian Inference for parameter estimation and model selection in astrophysics involve the use of Monte Carlo techniques such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling. However, these techniques are time…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-01-26 Geetakrishnasai Gunapati , Anirudh Jain , P. K. Srijith , Shantanu Desai

The goal of Bayesian deep learning is to provide uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution. However, exact inference over the weight space is computationally intractable due to the ultra-high dimensions of the neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Xiongwen Ke , Yanan Fan

Bayesian inference provides a methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in machine learning and deep learning methods. Variational inference and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods are used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Rohitash Chandra , Joshua Simmons

As data size and computing power increase, the architectures of deep neural networks (DNNs) have been getting more complex and huge, and thus there is a growing need to simplify such complex and huge DNNs. In this paper, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-24 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Yongdai Kim

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

In this work we use variational inference to quantify the degree of epistemic uncertainty in model predictions of radio galaxy classification and show that the level of model posterior variance for individual test samples is correlated with…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-11-30 Devina Mohan , Anna Scaife
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