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相关论文: Progressive Neural Network for Multi-Horizon Time …

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Multi-horizon time series forecasting, crucial across diverse domains, demands high accuracy and speed. While AutoRegressive (AR) models excel in short-term predictions, they suffer speed and error issues as the horizon extends.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-09 Yang Lin

Recurrent and convolutional neural networks are the most common architectures used for time series forecasting in deep learning literature. These networks use parameter sharing by repeating a set of fixed architectures with fixed parameters…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Joel Janek Dabrowski , YiFan Zhang , Ashfaqur Rahman

Forecasting time series data is a critical area of research with applications spanning from stock prices to early epidemic prediction. While numerous statistical and machine learning methods have been proposed, real-life prediction problems…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Madhurima Panja , Tanujit Chakraborty , Uttam Kumar , Abdenour Hadid

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Progressive Neural Network Learning is a class of algorithms that incrementally construct the network's topology and optimize its parameters based on the training data. While this approach exempts the users from the manual task of designing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Dat Thanh Tran , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Despite the impressive success of deep neural networks in many application areas, neural network models have so far not been widely adopted in the context of volatility forecasting. In this work, we aim to bridge the conceptual gap between…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-17 Rafael Reisenhofer , Xandro Bayer , Nikolaus Hautsch

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Time series data in real-world scenarios contain a substantial amount of nonlinear information, which significantly interferes with the training process of models, leading to decreased prediction performance. Therefore, during the time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Dandan Zhang , Zhiqiang Zhang , Nanguang Chen , Yun Wang

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks. These models achieve long-term forecasting mainly by scaling up the model size rather than through genuinely autoregressive (AR) rollout. From…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Zheng Li , Jerry Cheng , Huanying Gu

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

Along with the deraining performance improvement of deep networks, their structures and learning become more and more complicated and diverse, making it difficult to analyze the contribution of various network modules when developing new…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-05-17 Dongwei Ren , Wangmeng Zuo , Qinghua Hu , Pengfei Zhu , Deyu Meng

Deep neural networks offer an alternative paradigm for modeling weather conditions. The ability of neural models to make a prediction in less than a second once the data is available and to do so with very high temporal and spatial…

In this paper we present a new framework for time-series modeling that combines the best of traditional statistical models and neural networks. We focus on time-series with long-range dependencies, needed for monitoring fine granularity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Oskar Triebe , Nikolay Laptev , Ram Rajagopal

We propose SutraNets, a novel method for neural probabilistic forecasting of long-sequence time series. SutraNets use an autoregressive generative model to factorize the likelihood of long sequences into products of conditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-25 Shane Bergsma , Timothy Zeyl , Lei Guo

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

High-dimensional functional time series (HDFTS) are often characterized by nonlinear trends and high spatial dimensions. Such data poses unique challenges for modeling and forecasting due to the nonlinearity, nonstationarity, and high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Haixu Wang , Jiguo Cao
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