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Stock prices move as piece-wise trending fluctuation rather than a purely random walk. Traditionally, the prediction of future stock movements is based on the historical trading record. Nowadays, with the development of social media, many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Shwai He , Shi Gu

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

It is reported that financial news, especially financial events expressed in news, provide information to investors' long/short decisions and influence the movements of stock markets. Motivated by this, we leverage financial event streams…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-30 Xianchao Wu

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

Using machine learning and alternative data for the prediction of financial markets has been a popular topic in recent years. Many financial variables such as stock price, historical volatility and trade volume have already been through…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-18 Thomas Dierckx , Jesse Davis , Wim Schoutens

Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Ziniu Hu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Xuanzhe Liu , Tie-Yan Liu

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

Several studies have shown that deep learning models can provide more accurate volatility forecasts than the traditional methods used within this domain. This paper presents a composite model that merges a deep learning approach with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-18 V Ncume , T. L van Zyl , A Paskaramoorthy

Predicting stock market is vital for investors and policymakers, acting as a barometer of the economic health. We leverage social media data, a potent source of public sentiment, in tandem with macroeconomic indicators as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-08 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Taoran Ji , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu

Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

While stock prediction task traditionally relies on volume-price and fundamental data to predict the return ratio or price movement trend, sentiment factors derived from social media platforms such as StockTwits offer a complementary and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Xiang Li , Yiyan Qi , Jian Guo , Xiaowen Chu

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

It has been shown that financial news leads to the fluctuation of stock prices. However, previous work on news-driven financial market prediction focused only on predicting stock price movement without providing an explanation. In this…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-02-14 Linyi Yang , Zheng Zhang , Su Xiong , Lirui Wei , James Ng , Lina Xu , Ruihai Dong

A stock market is considered as one of the highly complex systems, which consists of many components whose prices move up and down without having a clear pattern. The complex nature of a stock market challenges us on making a reliable…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-09-27 Minjun Kim , Hiroki Sayama

Applying deep learning and computational intelligence to finance has been a popular area of applied research, both within academia and industry, and continues to attract active attention. The inherently high volatility and non-stationary of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-17 Michael Charles Albada , Mojolaoluwa Joshua Sonola

This paper proposes a novel adaptive algorithm for the automated short-term trading of financial instrument. The algorithm adopts a semantic sentiment analysis technique to inspect the Twitter posts and to use them to predict the behaviour…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-01-17 Paolo Cremonesi , Chiara Francalanci , Alessandro Poli , Roberto Pagano , Luca Mazzoni , Alberto Maggioni , Mehdi Elahi

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan
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